California Senate Bill 1387, which would define ethnicity to include Jewish identity and mandate an optional “Jewish” category on state demographic forms for ancestry and ethnic origin, cleared a key Assembly committee vote in mid-August 2026 after Senate passage and minimal opposition in prior committees. The measure enjoys broad institutional support from Jewish organizations and faces no reported procedural blocks before the end of the legislative session. Traders assign the 89.5% implied probability to the likelihood of enactment by December 31, 2026, reflecting the bill’s steady advancement and the state’s established practice of recognizing dozens of ethnic categories for data collection on hate crimes, public health, and program eligibility. Remaining steps include floor votes and gubernatorial review.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
90% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
90% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California Senate Bill 1387, which would define ethnicity to include Jewish identity and mandate an optional “Jewish” category on state demographic forms for ancestry and ethnic origin, cleared a key Assembly committee vote in mid-August 2026 after Senate passage and minimal opposition in prior committees. The measure enjoys broad institutional support from Jewish organizations and faces no reported procedural blocks before the end of the legislative session. Traders assign the 89.5% implied probability to the likelihood of enactment by December 31, 2026, reflecting the bill’s steady advancement and the state’s established practice of recognizing dozens of ethnic categories for data collection on hate crimes, public health, and program eligibility. Remaining steps include floor votes and gubernatorial review.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volumen
$1,270Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California Senate Bill 1387, which would define ethnicity to include Jewish identity and mandate an optional “Jewish” category on state demographic forms for ancestry and ethnic origin, cleared a key Assembly committee vote in mid-August 2026 after Senate passage and minimal opposition in prior committees. The measure enjoys broad institutional support from Jewish organizations and faces no reported procedural blocks before the end of the legislative session. Traders assign the 89.5% implied probability to the likelihood of enactment by December 31, 2026, reflecting the bill’s steady advancement and the state’s established practice of recognizing dozens of ethnic categories for data collection on hate crimes, public health, and program eligibility. Remaining steps include floor votes and gubernatorial review.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,270Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California Senate Bill 1387, which would define ethnicity to include Jewish identity and mandate an optional “Jewish” category on state demographic forms for ancestry and ethnic origin, cleared a key Assembly committee vote in mid-August 2026 after Senate passage and minimal opposition in prior committees. The measure enjoys broad institutional support from Jewish organizations and faces no reported procedural blocks before the end of the legislative session. Traders assign the 89.5% implied probability to the likelihood of enactment by December 31, 2026, reflecting the bill’s steady advancement and the state’s established practice of recognizing dozens of ethnic categories for data collection on hate crimes, public health, and program eligibility. Remaining steps include floor votes and gubernatorial review.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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