**EUR/USD trades near 1.158–1.16 amid a wide policy-rate differential favoring the dollar.** The Fed’s target range sits at 3.50–3.75 percent while the ECB deposit rate is 2.25 percent, a roughly 137-basis-point gap that widened after hawkish comments from Chair Warsh at Jackson Hole and hotter-than-expected July PCE at 3.7 percent year-on-year. Markets now price a meaningful chance of a September Fed hike. Euro-area inflation near 2.7–3 percent has simultaneously lifted odds of an ECB deposit-rate increase to 2.50 percent on September 10, though the net differential is expected to remain USD-supportive. Recent Treasury long-bond buyback expansion and Middle East energy-price pressures add volatility. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 ECB decision, September FOMC, upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls, and euro-area inflation prints, which will shape whether the pair sustains levels above 1.17 or retests the 1.14–1.15 zone by year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$89,211 Vol.
↑ 1,40
3%
↑ 1,35
4%
↑ 1,30
7%
↑ 1,26
7%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
37%
↑ 1,20
42%
↓ 1,12
27%
↓ 1,10
26%
↓ 1,05
7%
↓ 1.00
4%
$89,211 Vol.
↑ 1,40
3%
↑ 1,35
4%
↑ 1,30
7%
↑ 1,26
7%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
37%
↑ 1,20
42%
↓ 1,12
27%
↓ 1,10
26%
↓ 1,05
7%
↓ 1.00
4%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Mercado abierto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**EUR/USD trades near 1.158–1.16 amid a wide policy-rate differential favoring the dollar.** The Fed’s target range sits at 3.50–3.75 percent while the ECB deposit rate is 2.25 percent, a roughly 137-basis-point gap that widened after hawkish comments from Chair Warsh at Jackson Hole and hotter-than-expected July PCE at 3.7 percent year-on-year. Markets now price a meaningful chance of a September Fed hike. Euro-area inflation near 2.7–3 percent has simultaneously lifted odds of an ECB deposit-rate increase to 2.50 percent on September 10, though the net differential is expected to remain USD-supportive. Recent Treasury long-bond buyback expansion and Middle East energy-price pressures add volatility. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 ECB decision, September FOMC, upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls, and euro-area inflation prints, which will shape whether the pair sustains levels above 1.17 or retests the 1.14–1.15 zone by year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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