The Israeli Knesset completed its full four-year term and formally dissolved on July 17, 2026, setting the stage for legislative elections on the statutory date of October 27 under Israeli law. Candidate lists were submitted to the Central Elections Committee by the early September deadline, with overseas voting scheduled to begin October 20 and full campaign activities underway amid debates over security policy, Gaza, and military conscription. Recent polling shows a competitive race between the pro-Netanyahu bloc and opposition parties led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot, but no legislative or procedural moves have altered the timeline. Ongoing regional conflicts have not triggered postponement, consistent with the Knesset’s decision to forgo early dissolution despite earlier coalition tensions. This legal and procedural framework underpins the high implied probability that voting proceeds as scheduled.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
90% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 oct 2026
Sí
90% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 oct 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Israeli Knesset completed its full four-year term and formally dissolved on July 17, 2026, setting the stage for legislative elections on the statutory date of October 27 under Israeli law. Candidate lists were submitted to the Central Elections Committee by the early September deadline, with overseas voting scheduled to begin October 20 and full campaign activities underway amid debates over security policy, Gaza, and military conscription. Recent polling shows a competitive race between the pro-Netanyahu bloc and opposition parties led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot, but no legislative or procedural moves have altered the timeline. Ongoing regional conflicts have not triggered postponement, consistent with the Knesset’s decision to forgo early dissolution despite earlier coalition tensions. This legal and procedural framework underpins the high implied probability that voting proceeds as scheduled.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volumen
$8,817Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Israeli Knesset completed its full four-year term and formally dissolved on July 17, 2026, setting the stage for legislative elections on the statutory date of October 27 under Israeli law. Candidate lists were submitted to the Central Elections Committee by the early September deadline, with overseas voting scheduled to begin October 20 and full campaign activities underway amid debates over security policy, Gaza, and military conscription. Recent polling shows a competitive race between the pro-Netanyahu bloc and opposition parties led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot, but no legislative or procedural moves have altered the timeline. Ongoing regional conflicts have not triggered postponement, consistent with the Knesset’s decision to forgo early dissolution despite earlier coalition tensions. This legal and procedural framework underpins the high implied probability that voting proceeds as scheduled.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$8,817Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Israeli Knesset completed its full four-year term and formally dissolved on July 17, 2026, setting the stage for legislative elections on the statutory date of October 27 under Israeli law. Candidate lists were submitted to the Central Elections Committee by the early September deadline, with overseas voting scheduled to begin October 20 and full campaign activities underway amid debates over security policy, Gaza, and military conscription. Recent polling shows a competitive race between the pro-Netanyahu bloc and opposition parties led by figures such as Gadi Eisenkot, but no legislative or procedural moves have altered the timeline. Ongoing regional conflicts have not triggered postponement, consistent with the Knesset’s decision to forgo early dissolution despite earlier coalition tensions. This legal and procedural framework underpins the high implied probability that voting proceeds as scheduled.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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