Israel’s 26th Knesset elections remain fixed for October 27 under the statutory timetable, with the 25th Knesset having dissolved on July 17 after completing a full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988. Coalition statements and Knesset legal adviser guidance in July explicitly ruled out advancing the date, while party list submissions closed in early September without procedural disruption. Recent regional tensions and scattered protests warning of possible security-related delays have not prompted any official moves to postpone or alter the schedule. Trader consensus at 95.8% reflects this entrenched legal and institutional framework. Still, a major escalation involving Gaza, Lebanon, Iran, or the West Bank could trigger emergency measures capable of shifting the timeline in the final weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
96% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 oct 2026
Sí
96% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 oct 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel’s 26th Knesset elections remain fixed for October 27 under the statutory timetable, with the 25th Knesset having dissolved on July 17 after completing a full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988. Coalition statements and Knesset legal adviser guidance in July explicitly ruled out advancing the date, while party list submissions closed in early September without procedural disruption. Recent regional tensions and scattered protests warning of possible security-related delays have not prompted any official moves to postpone or alter the schedule. Trader consensus at 95.8% reflects this entrenched legal and institutional framework. Still, a major escalation involving Gaza, Lebanon, Iran, or the West Bank could trigger emergency measures capable of shifting the timeline in the final weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volumen
$9,898Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel’s 26th Knesset elections remain fixed for October 27 under the statutory timetable, with the 25th Knesset having dissolved on July 17 after completing a full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988. Coalition statements and Knesset legal adviser guidance in July explicitly ruled out advancing the date, while party list submissions closed in early September without procedural disruption. Recent regional tensions and scattered protests warning of possible security-related delays have not prompted any official moves to postpone or alter the schedule. Trader consensus at 95.8% reflects this entrenched legal and institutional framework. Still, a major escalation involving Gaza, Lebanon, Iran, or the West Bank could trigger emergency measures capable of shifting the timeline in the final weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$9,898Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel’s 26th Knesset elections remain fixed for October 27 under the statutory timetable, with the 25th Knesset having dissolved on July 17 after completing a full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988. Coalition statements and Knesset legal adviser guidance in July explicitly ruled out advancing the date, while party list submissions closed in early September without procedural disruption. Recent regional tensions and scattered protests warning of possible security-related delays have not prompted any official moves to postpone or alter the schedule. Trader consensus at 95.8% reflects this entrenched legal and institutional framework. Still, a major escalation involving Gaza, Lebanon, Iran, or the West Bank could trigger emergency measures capable of shifting the timeline in the final weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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