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icon for ¿Jordan Bardella dejará el Rally Nacional para...?

¿Jordan Bardella dejará el Rally Nacional para...?

icon for ¿Jordan Bardella dejará el Rally Nacional para...?

¿Jordan Bardella dejará el Rally Nacional para...?

NUEVO
31 jul 2026
Polymarket

$1,931 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de julio

$1,250 Vol.

2%

31 de diciembre

$239 Vol.

24%

31 de marzo

$442 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella has served as president of France’s National Rally (RN) since 2022 and remains the party’s most prominent figure ahead of the 2027 presidential election. A Paris appeals court ruling on July 7, 2026, upheld Marine Le Pen’s five-year public-office ban in the EU funds case, positioning Bardella as the likely RN nominee while the pair continues joint campaign events. Public statements from both leaders affirm ongoing cooperation, though analysts note longstanding differences on economic policy—Le Pen favoring a more statist approach and Bardella a comparatively liberal stance. No verified reports indicate plans for Bardella’s departure; recent developments instead reinforce his institutional role within the party ahead of scheduled electoral milestones.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,931
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella has served as president of France’s National Rally (RN) since 2022 and remains the party’s most prominent figure ahead of the 2027 presidential election. A Paris appeals court ruling on July 7, 2026, upheld Marine Le Pen’s five-year public-office ban in the EU funds case, positioning Bardella as the likely RN nominee while the pair continues joint campaign events. Public statements from both leaders affirm ongoing cooperation, though analysts note longstanding differences on economic policy—Le Pen favoring a more statist approach and Bardella a comparatively liberal stance. No verified reports indicate plans for Bardella’s departure; recent developments instead reinforce his institutional role within the party ahead of scheduled electoral milestones.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,931
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Jordan Bardella dejará el Rally Nacional para...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 24%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Jordan Bardella dejará el Rally Nacional para...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 9, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Jordan Bardella dejará el Rally Nacional para...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Jordan Bardella dejará el Rally Nacional para...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de marzo" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Jordan Bardella dejará el Rally Nacional para...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.