The Kremlin's explicit dismissal of any meeting arrangements, combined with the rapid unraveling of Ye's planned October 10-11 St. Petersburg concerts, underpins traders' 97.5% assessment that no in-person encounter with Vladimir Putin will occur by October 31. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated on August 20 that such scheduling falls outside official responsibilities, while the Gazprom Arena withdrew its hosting commitment days later amid complaints over the artist's past statements. These developments align with Putin's constrained calendar and Russia's selective approach to high-profile Western visitors since 2022. A last-minute private arrangement or sudden concert revival remains theoretically possible but faces steep logistical, political, and scheduling barriers in the narrow remaining window.