Lana Del Rey’s long-teased tenth studio album, now titled Stove, continues to face repeated delays after multiple title shifts and expanded tracklists since its initial 2024 announcement. As of mid-May 2026, credible reports confirm no firm release date has been set despite recent singles like “White Feather Hawk Tail Deer Hunter” and ongoing studio work, leaving only a vague 2026 window. This pattern of postponements, combined with the tight six-week window to June 30, underpins the market’s 62% implied probability for “No,” reflecting trader consensus on historical precedent and absent promotional timelines. Key catalysts include potential last-minute announcements or surprise drops, though past campaigns suggest these remain unlikely without precursor signals like official cover art or streaming pre-saves.