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Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

icon for Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

53% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
53% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance."

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases.

Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.

If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.'

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 9:17 PM ET
The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance."

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases.

Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.

If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.'

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 9:17 PM ET
The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 53% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 53¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?" es 53% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 53% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.