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icon for ¿El equipo Aurora hará un cambio de lista antes del 31 de diciembre?

¿El equipo Aurora hará un cambio de lista antes del 31 de diciembre?

icon for ¿El equipo Aurora hará un cambio de lista antes del 31 de diciembre?

¿El equipo Aurora hará un cambio de lista antes del 31 de diciembre?

38% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
38% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent roster overhaul in July 2026, shifting Aurora Gaming from an all-Turkish core to an international CS2 lineup featuring IGL kyxsan, anchor Jimpphat, and coach ash, has stabilized the team ahead of fall events. Strong integration and competitive showings at the Esports World Cup, including a narrow loss to FURIA, reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing stability through year-end. Upcoming schedule density across BLAST Open, ESL Pro League, and PGL Masters could pressure adjustments if results lag, while sustained form or limited transfer options would reinforce no further moves. Close 53% implied probability on no change captures uncertainty around early international chemistry versus potential mid-season tweaks for playoff positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$228
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 8:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent roster overhaul in July 2026, shifting Aurora Gaming from an all-Turkish core to an international CS2 lineup featuring IGL kyxsan, anchor Jimpphat, and coach ash, has stabilized the team ahead of fall events. Strong integration and competitive showings at the Esports World Cup, including a narrow loss to FURIA, reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing stability through year-end. Upcoming schedule density across BLAST Open, ESL Pro League, and PGL Masters could pressure adjustments if results lag, while sustained form or limited transfer options would reinforce no further moves. Close 53% implied probability on no change captures uncertainty around early international chemistry versus potential mid-season tweaks for playoff positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$228
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 8:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El equipo Aurora hará un cambio de lista antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 47% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 47¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿El equipo Aurora hará un cambio de lista antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 28, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿El equipo Aurora hará un cambio de lista antes del 31 de diciembre?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "¿El equipo Aurora hará un cambio de lista antes del 31 de diciembre?" es 47% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 47% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El equipo Aurora hará un cambio de lista antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.