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Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

July 30

$0 Vol.

47%

30 de septiembre

$0 Vol.

48%

December 31

$0 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans in the 119th Congress have used budget reconciliation twice already under unified party control, most recently advancing the Secure America Act (S.2) through the Senate on June 5 and the House on June 9, 2026, by narrow 214-212 and 52-47 votes before it was signed into law. This package directed roughly $70 billion in additional funding for ICE and CBP through fiscal 2029. Discussions of a potential third package, sometimes called Reconciliation 3.0 or the SAVE America Act, center on competing GOP priorities such as further tax relief, immigration measures, military funding, and abortion-related provisions, but internal divisions and a compressed legislative calendar before the August recess have slowed progress. House passage of any additional reconciliation measure would require committee markups, Rules Committee action, and sufficient Republican unity to clear the floor without Democratic support, with timing constrained by the midterms and competing appropriations deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans in the 119th Congress have used budget reconciliation twice already under unified party control, most recently advancing the Secure America Act (S.2) through the Senate on June 5 and the House on June 9, 2026, by narrow 214-212 and 52-47 votes before it was signed into law. This package directed roughly $70 billion in additional funding for ICE and CBP through fiscal 2029. Discussions of a potential third package, sometimes called Reconciliation 3.0 or the SAVE America Act, center on competing GOP priorities such as further tax relief, immigration measures, military funding, and abortion-related provisions, but internal divisions and a compressed legislative calendar before the August recess have slowed progress. House passage of any additional reconciliation measure would require committee markups, Rules Committee action, and sufficient Republican unity to clear the floor without Democratic support, with timing constrained by the midterms and competing appropriations deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de septiembre" con 48%, seguido de "July 30" con 47%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" es "30 de septiembre" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "July 30" con 47%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.