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Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$4,401 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de septiembre

$825 Vol.

6%

December 31

$1,292 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans hold unified control of the House, Senate, and White House in the 119th Congress, enabling repeated use of budget reconciliation to advance fiscal and policy priorities on party-line votes. Two reconciliation packages have already become law in 2025-2026, including the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and a June 2026 measure funding ICE and CBP at roughly $70 billion. Lawmakers are actively discussing a potential third bill focused on defense spending increases, safety-net adjustments, or deficit reduction, though internal GOP divisions over offsets and priorities have left prospects uncertain. Key upcoming catalysts include the November 2026 midterm elections, remaining fiscal deadlines, and any lame-duck session activity that could determine whether the House advances another measure before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$4,401
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans hold unified control of the House, Senate, and White House in the 119th Congress, enabling repeated use of budget reconciliation to advance fiscal and policy priorities on party-line votes. Two reconciliation packages have already become law in 2025-2026, including the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and a June 2026 measure funding ICE and CBP at roughly $70 billion. Lawmakers are actively discussing a potential third bill focused on defense spending increases, safety-net adjustments, or deficit reduction, though internal GOP divisions over offsets and priorities have left prospects uncertain. Key upcoming catalysts include the November 2026 midterm elections, remaining fiscal deadlines, and any lame-duck session activity that could determine whether the House advances another measure before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$4,401
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "December 31" con 26%, seguido de "30 de septiembre" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 26¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 26% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" es "December 31" con 26%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 26% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de septiembre" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.