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Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

icon for Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

15% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
15% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).**Missouri Amendment 3**, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, would repeal the voter-approved 2024 reproductive freedom provision, restrict abortion to limited exceptions (medical emergency, rape or incest up to 12 weeks, or fetal anomaly), add parental consent requirements, and embed a permanent ban on gender transition surgeries, cross-sex hormones, and puberty blockers for minors. The latter provision largely codifies restrictions already enacted in 2023 statute (with a 2027 sunset under active legislative challenge to make permanent). Opposition campaigns launched in spring 2026 emphasize the measure’s effort to override the 2024 electorate’s decision, while legal challenges have already forced revisions to ballot language. Recent polling indicates the gender-care restrictions enjoy broad support and could help the measure, yet the linkage to abortion limits has not overcome broader voter resistance to rolling back recently expanded reproductive rights. With active litigation over the 2024 amendment still unresolved and organized opposition framing the proposal as a reversal of voter will, trader consensus assigns low probability of passage.

Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Volumen
$604
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).**Missouri Amendment 3**, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, would repeal the voter-approved 2024 reproductive freedom provision, restrict abortion to limited exceptions (medical emergency, rape or incest up to 12 weeks, or fetal anomaly), add parental consent requirements, and embed a permanent ban on gender transition surgeries, cross-sex hormones, and puberty blockers for minors. The latter provision largely codifies restrictions already enacted in 2023 statute (with a 2027 sunset under active legislative challenge to make permanent). Opposition campaigns launched in spring 2026 emphasize the measure’s effort to override the 2024 electorate’s decision, while legal challenges have already forced revisions to ballot language. Recent polling indicates the gender-care restrictions enjoy broad support and could help the measure, yet the linkage to abortion limits has not overcome broader voter resistance to rolling back recently expanded reproductive rights. With active litigation over the 2024 amendment still unresolved and organized opposition framing the proposal as a reversal of voter will, trader consensus assigns low probability of passage.

Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Volumen
$604
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 18% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 18¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 18% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" es 18% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 18% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

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