The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, driven by House-passed articles on alleged misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and related charges, remains closely balanced due to Senate composition and procedural disputes. A Duterte-aligned bloc among the 24 senators has limited momentum toward the two-thirds threshold for conviction, while recent proceedings have centered on bank record subpoenas and arguments from former justices over whether the vote count adjusts for senators facing legal impediments or detention. Traders reflect this uncertainty in near-even odds, with evidence presentation on financial disclosures and any shifts in senator participation or alignments during the extended trial window into 2027 representing key variables that could alter the balance either way.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
48% probabilidad
$12,651 Vol.
$12,651 Vol.
30 dic 2026
48% probabilidad
$12,651 Vol.
$12,651 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, driven by House-passed articles on alleged misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and related charges, remains closely balanced due to Senate composition and procedural disputes. A Duterte-aligned bloc among the 24 senators has limited momentum toward the two-thirds threshold for conviction, while recent proceedings have centered on bank record subpoenas and arguments from former justices over whether the vote count adjusts for senators facing legal impediments or detention. Traders reflect this uncertainty in near-even odds, with evidence presentation on financial disclosures and any shifts in senator participation or alignments during the extended trial window into 2027 representing key variables that could alter the balance either way.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volumen
$12,651Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, driven by House-passed articles on alleged misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and related charges, remains closely balanced due to Senate composition and procedural disputes. A Duterte-aligned bloc among the 24 senators has limited momentum toward the two-thirds threshold for conviction, while recent proceedings have centered on bank record subpoenas and arguments from former justices over whether the vote count adjusts for senators facing legal impediments or detention. Traders reflect this uncertainty in near-even odds, with evidence presentation on financial disclosures and any shifts in senator participation or alignments during the extended trial window into 2027 representing key variables that could alter the balance either way.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$12,651Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, driven by House-passed articles on alleged misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and related charges, remains closely balanced due to Senate composition and procedural disputes. A Duterte-aligned bloc among the 24 senators has limited momentum toward the two-thirds threshold for conviction, while recent proceedings have centered on bank record subpoenas and arguments from former justices over whether the vote count adjusts for senators facing legal impediments or detention. Traders reflect this uncertainty in near-even odds, with evidence presentation on financial disclosures and any shifts in senator participation or alignments during the extended trial window into 2027 representing key variables that could alter the balance either way.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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