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Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

July 30

$0 Vol.

47%

September 30

$0 Vol.

47%

December 31

$0 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republican majorities in Congress have enabled use of the budget reconciliation process to advance immigration enforcement funding and other priorities with a simple majority vote, bypassing the filibuster. The Senate passed a roughly $70 billion package focused on ICE and CBP funding (S.2) on June 5, 2026, by a 52-47 vote after committee markups and amendment sessions, with the House following days later. Some Republican lawmakers have since floated a follow-on “Reconciliation 3.0” measure that could include defense spending, tax provisions, or safety-net changes, though timing remains uncertain ahead of the August recess and fall appropriations deadlines. Trader views reflect the procedural advantages of reconciliation under current partisan control alongside the compressed legislative calendar that could limit additional packages.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republican majorities in Congress have enabled use of the budget reconciliation process to advance immigration enforcement funding and other priorities with a simple majority vote, bypassing the filibuster. The Senate passed a roughly $70 billion package focused on ICE and CBP funding (S.2) on June 5, 2026, by a 52-47 vote after committee markups and amendment sessions, with the House following days later. Some Republican lawmakers have since floated a follow-on “Reconciliation 3.0” measure that could include defense spending, tax provisions, or safety-net changes, though timing remains uncertain ahead of the August recess and fall appropriations deadlines. Trader views reflect the procedural advantages of reconciliation under current partisan control alongside the compressed legislative calendar that could limit additional packages.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "July 30" con 47%, seguido de "September 30" con 47%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 47¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" es "July 30" con 47%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "September 30" con 47%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.