¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?
$38,845,500 Vol.
31 may 2026
31 de mayo
$3,853,838 Vol.
1%
30 de junio
$1,258,504 Vol.
2%
30 de septiembre
$597,839 Vol.
6%
31 de diciembre
$29,255,298 Vol.
14%
$38,845,500 Vol.
31 de mayo
$3,853,838 Vol.
1%
30 de junio
$1,258,504 Vol.
2%
30 de septiembre
$597,839 Vol.
6%
31 de diciembre
$29,255,298 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified UAP files—including videos, photos, and unresolved reports from military commands—has intensified public speculation around extraterrestrial life, fueling viral social media buzz and calls for full disclosure. However, All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) officials reiterated that no evidence confirms alien origins, attributing most cases to mundane explanations like drones or satellites. This follows April whistleblower claims and insider interviews hinting at advanced tech, yet official statements stop short of existence confirmation. Traders eye upcoming congressional hearings and potential further declassifications on the new war.gov/ufo portal, amid a cultural surge in UFO documentaries and pop culture fascination that could sway sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified UAP files—including videos, photos, and unresolved reports from military commands—has intensified public speculation around extraterrestrial life, fueling viral social media buzz and calls for full disclosure. However, All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) officials reiterated that no evidence confirms alien origins, attributing most cases to mundane explanations like drones or satellites. This follows April whistleblower claims and insider interviews hinting at advanced tech, yet official statements stop short of existence confirmation. Traders eye upcoming congressional hearings and potential further declassifications on the new war.gov/ufo portal, amid a cultural surge in UFO documentaries and pop culture fascination that could sway sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 18 2026
Pentagon announces upcoming release of 46 UAP videos
December 31 rises to 19%2%
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna announced that the Pentagon would release 46 videos of unidentified aerial phenomena, fueling speculation about government transparency on UFOs. This announcement caused a temporary increase in market prices for the December 31 outcome, reflecting renewed hopes for official confirmation.
Apr 17 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files with no confirmation of alien life
December 31 rises to 21%3%
The Pentagon began releasing a new batch of declassified UFO files, including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, but explicitly did not confirm extraterrestrial life. This release sparked public curiosity and a brief increase in market prices for the December 31 outcome, but the lack of definitive confirmation led to a subsequent decline.
Apr 10 2026
Pentagon releases new UFO files detailing sightings but no confirmation of alien life
The Pentagon released a batch of declassified UFO files including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, sparking public interest but stopping short of confirming extraterrestrial life. This transparency effort by the Trump administration increased public curiosity but did not provide definitive proof, leading to a modest market reaction with no significant price increase.
Mar 18 2026
Cuban officials present AKM rifles to singer Silvio Rodríguez after anti‑U.S. remarks
December 31 rises to 16%3%
Cuba’s public gifting of military rifles to a prominent artist, following his threats against the United States, heightened geopolitical tension and revived speculation about secret U.S.‑Cuban encounters with unidentified technology, nudging the market upward.
Feb 20 2026
President Trump tweets that UFO disclosures are “coming soon” after Pentagon release
December 31 dips to 14%3%
Following the Pentagon’s file drop, Trump posted on Truth Social that more revelations were imminent, reinforcing market expectations that the government might soon confirm extraterrestrial evidence, driving the price to a peak.
Feb 19 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files amid Trump‑prompted transparency push
December 31 jumps to 17%5%
The Department of Defense made public a trove of declassified UFO videos and reports, a move encouraged by President Trump’s recent social‑media calls for disclosure. Traders saw the unprecedented release as a step toward official acknowledgment, lifting the December‑31 outcome.
Gen. Dan Caine provided a detailed account of the meticulously planned US military operation to capture Venezuelan President Maduro, highlighting extensive intelligence and military coordination. This high-profile event increased attention on US government actions but did not relate directly to alien confirmation, causing minor market fluctuations.
Feb 9 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files, sparking renewed speculation on alien life
The Department of Defense declassified a set of UFO videos and reports, prompting President Trump to tweet about the need for transparency. Traders interpreted the disclosure as a possible step toward an official confirmation, lifting the market’s odds in early February.
Feb 7 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files, sparking renewed public interest
December 31 jumps to 22%13%
The Pentagon began releasing a trove of videos, imagery, and testimony related to UFO sightings, including reports of unusual aerial phenomena. This release, promoted by former President Trump, increased speculation and market interest in the possibility of official confirmation of extraterrestrial life, causing the market price for the December 31 outcome to jump from 9% to 22%.
Feb 3 2026
President Trump emphasizes transparency on UFO files and public interpretation
December 31 rises to 12%3%
President Trump publicly highlighted the release of UFO files and encouraged the public to interpret the information themselves, signaling a more open approach to the topic of extraterrestrial life. This statement contributed to increased market confidence in a potential official confirmation by the end of the year.
Jan 20 2026
Republican lawmaker demands release of additional UAP videos
December 31 rises to 10%1%
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna publicly urged the Pentagon to release more UAP footage, intensifying congressional pressure for transparency and suggesting a possible forthcoming official acknowledgment before the year’s end, which pushed the December 31 price up further.
Jan 11 2026
DOJ opens criminal probe into Fed Chair Jerome Powell
December 31 rises to 9%1%
A Justice Department investigation into Fed Chair Powell raised concerns about political pressure on the central bank, leading some traders to anticipate a possible presidential statement on broader government transparency, including UFO disclosures, which lifted the December 31 contract.
Jan 5 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files sparking public debate
December 31 rises to 7%1%
The Department of Defense disclosed additional declassified UFO documents, highlighting unexplained sightings and prompting media coverage that revived speculation about official acknowledgment of extraterrestrial phenomena, nudging the December 31 outcome higher.
Dec 27 2025
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files under Trump administration
December 31 rises to 12%2%
The Pentagon began releasing a new batch of declassified UFO files, including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, which sparked public interest and speculation about extraterrestrial life. However, the files did not provide definitive confirmation of alien existence, leading to a moderate increase in market price for the December 31 outcome.
Dec 6 2025
Pentagon releases new UFO files sparking speculation of alien evidence
December 31 dips to 9%4%
The Department of Defense declassified a set of videos and reports on unidentified aerial phenomena, prompting media outlets to highlight the possibility of official acknowledgment and pushing the market’s Yes price up from 13% to 9% as traders priced in a higher chance of a December‑31 confirmation.
Nov 29 2025
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files with detailed sightings
December 31 jumps to 13%6%
The Pentagon began releasing a trove of declassified UFO files, including videos and testimonies of unusual aerial phenomena, which reignited public and market interest in the possibility of extraterrestrial life. Former President Trump highlighted the release, encouraging public scrutiny and speculation, which likely caused the market price to rise sharply around this date.
Nov 28 2025
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files revealing unusual sightings
December 31 rises to 11%4%
The Pentagon began releasing a new batch of declassified UFO files detailing numerous sightings of unidentified aerial phenomena, including erratic maneuvers and bright orbs, sparking public interest and speculation about extraterrestrial life. This release, encouraged by former President Trump, increased market optimism about a possible official confirmation by December 31, 2026, causing the price for that outcome to rise from 7% to 11%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified UAP files—including videos, photos, and unresolved reports from military commands—has intensified public speculation around extraterrestrial life, fueling viral social media buzz and calls for full disclosure. However, All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) officials reiterated that no evidence confirms alien origins, attributing most cases to mundane explanations like drones or satellites. This follows April whistleblower claims and insider interviews hinting at advanced tech, yet official statements stop short of existence confirmation. Traders eye upcoming congressional hearings and potential further declassifications on the new war.gov/ufo portal, amid a cultural surge in UFO documentaries and pop culture fascination that could sway sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified UAP files—including videos, photos, and unresolved reports from military commands—has intensified public speculation around extraterrestrial life, fueling viral social media buzz and calls for full disclosure. However, All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) officials reiterated that no evidence confirms alien origins, attributing most cases to mundane explanations like drones or satellites. This follows April whistleblower claims and insider interviews hinting at advanced tech, yet official statements stop short of existence confirmation. Traders eye upcoming congressional hearings and potential further declassifications on the new war.gov/ufo portal, amid a cultural surge in UFO documentaries and pop culture fascination that could sway sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 18 2026
Pentagon announces upcoming release of 46 UAP videos
December 31 rises to 19%2%
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna announced that the Pentagon would release 46 videos of unidentified aerial phenomena, fueling speculation about government transparency on UFOs. This announcement caused a temporary increase in market prices for the December 31 outcome, reflecting renewed hopes for official confirmation.
Apr 17 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files with no confirmation of alien life
December 31 rises to 21%3%
The Pentagon began releasing a new batch of declassified UFO files, including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, but explicitly did not confirm extraterrestrial life. This release sparked public curiosity and a brief increase in market prices for the December 31 outcome, but the lack of definitive confirmation led to a subsequent decline.
Apr 10 2026
Pentagon releases new UFO files detailing sightings but no confirmation of alien life
The Pentagon released a batch of declassified UFO files including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, sparking public interest but stopping short of confirming extraterrestrial life. This transparency effort by the Trump administration increased public curiosity but did not provide definitive proof, leading to a modest market reaction with no significant price increase.
Mar 18 2026
Cuban officials present AKM rifles to singer Silvio Rodríguez after anti‑U.S. remarks
December 31 rises to 16%3%
Cuba’s public gifting of military rifles to a prominent artist, following his threats against the United States, heightened geopolitical tension and revived speculation about secret U.S.‑Cuban encounters with unidentified technology, nudging the market upward.
Feb 20 2026
President Trump tweets that UFO disclosures are “coming soon” after Pentagon release
December 31 dips to 14%3%
Following the Pentagon’s file drop, Trump posted on Truth Social that more revelations were imminent, reinforcing market expectations that the government might soon confirm extraterrestrial evidence, driving the price to a peak.
Feb 19 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files amid Trump‑prompted transparency push
December 31 jumps to 17%5%
The Department of Defense made public a trove of declassified UFO videos and reports, a move encouraged by President Trump’s recent social‑media calls for disclosure. Traders saw the unprecedented release as a step toward official acknowledgment, lifting the December‑31 outcome.
Gen. Dan Caine provided a detailed account of the meticulously planned US military operation to capture Venezuelan President Maduro, highlighting extensive intelligence and military coordination. This high-profile event increased attention on US government actions but did not relate directly to alien confirmation, causing minor market fluctuations.
Feb 9 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files, sparking renewed speculation on alien life
The Department of Defense declassified a set of UFO videos and reports, prompting President Trump to tweet about the need for transparency. Traders interpreted the disclosure as a possible step toward an official confirmation, lifting the market’s odds in early February.
Feb 7 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files, sparking renewed public interest
December 31 jumps to 22%13%
The Pentagon began releasing a trove of videos, imagery, and testimony related to UFO sightings, including reports of unusual aerial phenomena. This release, promoted by former President Trump, increased speculation and market interest in the possibility of official confirmation of extraterrestrial life, causing the market price for the December 31 outcome to jump from 9% to 22%.
Feb 3 2026
President Trump emphasizes transparency on UFO files and public interpretation
December 31 rises to 12%3%
President Trump publicly highlighted the release of UFO files and encouraged the public to interpret the information themselves, signaling a more open approach to the topic of extraterrestrial life. This statement contributed to increased market confidence in a potential official confirmation by the end of the year.
Jan 20 2026
Republican lawmaker demands release of additional UAP videos
December 31 rises to 10%1%
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna publicly urged the Pentagon to release more UAP footage, intensifying congressional pressure for transparency and suggesting a possible forthcoming official acknowledgment before the year’s end, which pushed the December 31 price up further.
Jan 11 2026
DOJ opens criminal probe into Fed Chair Jerome Powell
December 31 rises to 9%1%
A Justice Department investigation into Fed Chair Powell raised concerns about political pressure on the central bank, leading some traders to anticipate a possible presidential statement on broader government transparency, including UFO disclosures, which lifted the December 31 contract.
Jan 5 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files sparking public debate
December 31 rises to 7%1%
The Department of Defense disclosed additional declassified UFO documents, highlighting unexplained sightings and prompting media coverage that revived speculation about official acknowledgment of extraterrestrial phenomena, nudging the December 31 outcome higher.
Dec 27 2025
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files under Trump administration
December 31 rises to 12%2%
The Pentagon began releasing a new batch of declassified UFO files, including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, which sparked public interest and speculation about extraterrestrial life. However, the files did not provide definitive confirmation of alien existence, leading to a moderate increase in market price for the December 31 outcome.
Dec 6 2025
Pentagon releases new UFO files sparking speculation of alien evidence
December 31 dips to 9%4%
The Department of Defense declassified a set of videos and reports on unidentified aerial phenomena, prompting media outlets to highlight the possibility of official acknowledgment and pushing the market’s Yes price up from 13% to 9% as traders priced in a higher chance of a December‑31 confirmation.
Nov 29 2025
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files with detailed sightings
December 31 jumps to 13%6%
The Pentagon began releasing a trove of declassified UFO files, including videos and testimonies of unusual aerial phenomena, which reignited public and market interest in the possibility of extraterrestrial life. Former President Trump highlighted the release, encouraging public scrutiny and speculation, which likely caused the market price to rise sharply around this date.
Nov 28 2025
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files revealing unusual sightings
December 31 rises to 11%4%
The Pentagon began releasing a new batch of declassified UFO files detailing numerous sightings of unidentified aerial phenomena, including erratic maneuvers and bright orbs, sparking public interest and speculation about extraterrestrial life. This release, encouraged by former President Trump, increased market optimism about a possible official confirmation by December 31, 2026, causing the price for that outcome to rise from 7% to 11%.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 14%, seguido de "30 de septiembre" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 14¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 14% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" ha generado $38.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 14%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 14% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de septiembre" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $38.8 million operados en “¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 14¢ para "31 de diciembre" en el mercado "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 14% de que "31 de diciembre" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 14¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 86¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Dec 31, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?" tiene una comunidad activa de 1,250 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "¿Confirmarán los EE. UU. que existen extraterrestres para...?". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes