Ongoing military tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, which began in late February, continue to shape trader expectations against any U.S. embassy reopening in Tehran this year. A fragile ceasefire remains under strain following President Trump’s rejection of Iranian counterproposals that omitted key nuclear concessions, while fresh U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports to China in early May reinforced economic pressure. Indirect talks in Switzerland and planned sessions in Islamabad focus narrowly on de-escalation rather than diplomatic normalization, with no progress toward restoring relations severed since 1979. Security advisories urging Americans to depart Iran further highlight the absence of conditions for embassy operations. These developments leave structural barriers intact and limit any near-term path to reopening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Reabrirá Estados Unidos su embajada en Irán en 2026?
¿Reabrirá Estados Unidos su embajada en Irán en 2026?
Sí
$80,059 Vol.
$80,059 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$80,059 Vol.
$80,059 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, which began in late February, continue to shape trader expectations against any U.S. embassy reopening in Tehran this year. A fragile ceasefire remains under strain following President Trump’s rejection of Iranian counterproposals that omitted key nuclear concessions, while fresh U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports to China in early May reinforced economic pressure. Indirect talks in Switzerland and planned sessions in Islamabad focus narrowly on de-escalation rather than diplomatic normalization, with no progress toward restoring relations severed since 1979. Security advisories urging Americans to depart Iran further highlight the absence of conditions for embassy operations. These developments leave structural barriers intact and limit any near-term path to reopening.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volumen
$80,059Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, which began in late February, continue to shape trader expectations against any U.S. embassy reopening in Tehran this year. A fragile ceasefire remains under strain following President Trump’s rejection of Iranian counterproposals that omitted key nuclear concessions, while fresh U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports to China in early May reinforced economic pressure. Indirect talks in Switzerland and planned sessions in Islamabad focus narrowly on de-escalation rather than diplomatic normalization, with no progress toward restoring relations severed since 1979. Security advisories urging Americans to depart Iran further highlight the absence of conditions for embassy operations. These developments leave structural barriers intact and limit any near-term path to reopening.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$80,059Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, which began in late February, continue to shape trader expectations against any U.S. embassy reopening in Tehran this year. A fragile ceasefire remains under strain following President Trump’s rejection of Iranian counterproposals that omitted key nuclear concessions, while fresh U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports to China in early May reinforced economic pressure. Indirect talks in Switzerland and planned sessions in Islamabad focus narrowly on de-escalation rather than diplomatic normalization, with no progress toward restoring relations severed since 1979. Security advisories urging Americans to depart Iran further highlight the absence of conditions for embassy operations. These developments leave structural barriers intact and limit any near-term path to reopening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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