US-Iran negotiations amid the ongoing conflict that began with February 2026 strikes remain the central driver of odds on direct communication between President Trump and Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. Trump publicly expressed openness to a meeting in early June 2026 if it advanced a deal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while Iranian officials and the supreme leader’s advisers have repeatedly dismissed the prospect as unrealistic and rejected any personal encounter. Khamenei authorized a June memorandum of understanding despite reservations, yet hardliners have since pushed escalation, complicating diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, including Khamenei’s limited public role, security constraints, and mutual distrust, though scheduled multilateral talks and any verified direct channel could still shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump hablará con Mojtaba Khamenei antes del...?
$626,256 Vol.
31 de diciembre
4%
$626,256 Vol.
31 de diciembre
4%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations amid the ongoing conflict that began with February 2026 strikes remain the central driver of odds on direct communication between President Trump and Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. Trump publicly expressed openness to a meeting in early June 2026 if it advanced a deal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while Iranian officials and the supreme leader’s advisers have repeatedly dismissed the prospect as unrealistic and rejected any personal encounter. Khamenei authorized a June memorandum of understanding despite reservations, yet hardliners have since pushed escalation, complicating diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, including Khamenei’s limited public role, security constraints, and mutual distrust, though scheduled multilateral talks and any verified direct channel could still shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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