Russian forces captured Myrnohrad in early 2026 during the broader Pokrovsk offensive in Donetsk Oblast, establishing firm control over the town and its surroundings after months of incremental advances. Ukrainian units have since conducted localized counteroffensives in sectors such as Zaporizhzhia and Oleksandrivka, regaining some territory elsewhere, yet reports show no confirmed re-entry or sustained presence in Myrnohrad itself amid continued Russian defensive consolidation and artillery activity. Trader sentiment reflects the entrenched Russian positions, logistical challenges for Ukrainian mechanized operations in the area, and the absence of major shifts in the Donetsk direction through mid-2026. Any significant change would likely require a broader Ukrainian operational breakthrough or major Russian redeployments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Ucrania volverá a entrar en Myrnohrad el...?
$82,998 Vol.
December 31
9%
$82,998 Vol.
December 31
9%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces captured Myrnohrad in early 2026 during the broader Pokrovsk offensive in Donetsk Oblast, establishing firm control over the town and its surroundings after months of incremental advances. Ukrainian units have since conducted localized counteroffensives in sectors such as Zaporizhzhia and Oleksandrivka, regaining some territory elsewhere, yet reports show no confirmed re-entry or sustained presence in Myrnohrad itself amid continued Russian defensive consolidation and artillery activity. Trader sentiment reflects the entrenched Russian positions, logistical challenges for Ukrainian mechanized operations in the area, and the absence of major shifts in the Donetsk direction through mid-2026. Any significant change would likely require a broader Ukrainian operational breakthrough or major Russian redeployments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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