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icon for ¿Zohran Mamdani lanzará otra canción?

¿Zohran Mamdani lanzará otra canción?

icon for ¿Zohran Mamdani lanzará otra canción?

¿Zohran Mamdani lanzará otra canción?

10% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

10% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). Zohran Mamdani’s rap catalog as Young Cardamom and Mr. Cardamom largely dates to the mid-2010s, including a 2016 EP and the track “#1 Spice” from the Queen of Katwe soundtrack, with no verified new original releases since. As New York City mayor since early 2026, his schedule centers on governance, leaving little room for music industry campaigns or studio time. A 2025 rumor of a fresh verse was quickly debunked by his team, reinforcing trader views that his artistic chapter has closed. The 71.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects this clear pivot and the absence of any announced comeback or promotional activity.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.

If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.

A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.

The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
Volumen
$116
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). Zohran Mamdani’s rap catalog as Young Cardamom and Mr. Cardamom largely dates to the mid-2010s, including a 2016 EP and the track “#1 Spice” from the Queen of Katwe soundtrack, with no verified new original releases since. As New York City mayor since early 2026, his schedule centers on governance, leaving little room for music industry campaigns or studio time. A 2025 rumor of a fresh verse was quickly debunked by his team, reinforcing trader views that his artistic chapter has closed. The 71.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects this clear pivot and the absence of any announced comeback or promotional activity.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.

If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.

A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.

The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
Volumen
$116
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Zohran Mamdani lanzará otra canción?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Zohran Mamdani lanzará otra canción?" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Zohran Mamdani lanzará otra canción?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Zohran Mamdani lanzará otra canción?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Zohran Mamdani lanzará otra canción?" es "¿Zohran Mamdani lanzará otra canción?" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Zohran Mamdani lanzará otra canción?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.