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icon for Wimbledon 2026: ¿Los 10 mejores sembrados a perder en la primera ronda? (individual masculino)

Wimbledon 2026: ¿Los 10 mejores sembrados a perder en la primera ronda? (individual masculino)

icon for Wimbledon 2026: ¿Los 10 mejores sembrados a perder en la primera ronda? (individual masculino)

Wimbledon 2026: ¿Los 10 mejores sembrados a perder en la primera ronda? (individual masculino)

51% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
51% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Top-10 seeds at Wimbledon 2026 include Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, Félix Auger-Aliassime, Ben Shelton, Alex de Minaur, Taylor Fritz, Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Flavio Cobolli, and Alexander Bublik, with the draw scheduled for release shortly before the June 29 start on grass.** The near-even 50.5% implied probability on no top-10 first-round exit reflects competitive balance between the overall strength of the seeded group—led by Sinner’s dominance and Djokovic’s grass-court pedigree—and Wimbledon’s historical volatility, where early upsets occur more frequently than on other surfaces due to fast conditions, variable bounces, and potential mismatches against qualifiers or grass specialists. Recent precedent from 2025, which saw multiple high seeds eliminated in round one, adds uncertainty, while factors such as pre-tournament form, minor injury concerns for players like Auger-Aliassime or Bublik, and the specific first-round pairings once announced could shift sentiment by highlighting vulnerable matchups or confirming favorable paths for favorites.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.

If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 22, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Top-10 seeds at Wimbledon 2026 include Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, Félix Auger-Aliassime, Ben Shelton, Alex de Minaur, Taylor Fritz, Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Flavio Cobolli, and Alexander Bublik, with the draw scheduled for release shortly before the June 29 start on grass.** The near-even 50.5% implied probability on no top-10 first-round exit reflects competitive balance between the overall strength of the seeded group—led by Sinner’s dominance and Djokovic’s grass-court pedigree—and Wimbledon’s historical volatility, where early upsets occur more frequently than on other surfaces due to fast conditions, variable bounces, and potential mismatches against qualifiers or grass specialists. Recent precedent from 2025, which saw multiple high seeds eliminated in round one, adds uncertainty, while factors such as pre-tournament form, minor injury concerns for players like Auger-Aliassime or Bublik, and the specific first-round pairings once announced could shift sentiment by highlighting vulnerable matchups or confirming favorable paths for favorites.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.

If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 22, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Wimbledon 2026: ¿Los 10 mejores sembrados a perder en la primera ronda? (individual masculino)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 51% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 51¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Wimbledon 2026: ¿Los 10 mejores sembrados a perder en la primera ronda? (individual masculino)" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Wimbledon 2026: ¿Los 10 mejores sembrados a perder en la primera ronda? (individual masculino)", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Wimbledon 2026: ¿Los 10 mejores sembrados a perder en la primera ronda? (individual masculino)" es 51% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 51% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Wimbledon 2026: ¿Los 10 mejores sembrados a perder en la primera ronda? (individual masculino)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.