Recent polling and primary dynamics position Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley as the frontrunner in Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race against U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset victory over state Representative Francesca Hong on August 11 after re-entering the contest with outgoing Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, consolidating establishment support and party loyalty. The first post-primary Marquette Law School survey of likely voters showed Crowley ahead 49-44, with a stronger edge among independents, though the race remains tied among registered voters. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic ahead of the November 3 election. Tiffany won the Republican primary without major opposition but faces an environment where Democratic turnout advantages and Wisconsin's recent voting patterns favor the Democratic nominee in trader assessments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin
Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin
$511,187 Vol.
$511,187 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$511,187 Vol.
$511,187 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
$268,747 Vol.
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$242,441 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling and primary dynamics position Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley as the frontrunner in Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race against U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset victory over state Representative Francesca Hong on August 11 after re-entering the contest with outgoing Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, consolidating establishment support and party loyalty. The first post-primary Marquette Law School survey of likely voters showed Crowley ahead 49-44, with a stronger edge among independents, though the race remains tied among registered voters. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic ahead of the November 3 election. Tiffany won the Republican primary without major opposition but faces an environment where Democratic turnout advantages and Wisconsin's recent voting patterns favor the Democratic nominee in trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$511,187Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling and primary dynamics position Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley as the frontrunner in Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race against U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset victory over state Representative Francesca Hong on August 11 after re-entering the contest with outgoing Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, consolidating establishment support and party loyalty. The first post-primary Marquette Law School survey of likely voters showed Crowley ahead 49-44, with a stronger edge among independents, though the race remains tied among registered voters. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic ahead of the November 3 election. Tiffany won the Republican primary without major opposition but faces an environment where Democratic turnout advantages and Wisconsin's recent voting patterns favor the Democratic nominee in trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$511,187Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling and primary dynamics position Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley as the frontrunner in Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race against U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset victory over state Representative Francesca Hong on August 11 after re-entering the contest with outgoing Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, consolidating establishment support and party loyalty. The first post-primary Marquette Law School survey of likely voters showed Crowley ahead 49-44, with a stronger edge among independents, though the race remains tied among registered voters. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic ahead of the November 3 election. Tiffany won the Republican primary without major opposition but faces an environment where Democratic turnout advantages and Wisconsin's recent voting patterns favor the Democratic nominee in trader assessments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes