Spain and France sit atop the World Cup winner market due to their elite squad depth, recent major-tournament pedigree, and favorable early draw positions in the expanded 48-team field. Spain carries momentum from its Euro 2024 title and features young talents like Lamine Yamal, while France relies on Kylian Mbappé and a deep roster. Portugal, England, Brazil, and Argentina follow closely, supported by star power and consistent FIFA rankings near the top. Early group-stage results, including the United States’ 4-1 win over Paraguay, have produced minor shifts but left the overall hierarchy stable. The bunched probabilities underscore a wide-open field where multiple contenders possess comparable paths through the group stage and knockout rounds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEspaña 16.7%
Francia 16.1%
Portugal 10.5%
Inglaterra 9.7%
$2,226,136,394 Vol.
$2,226,136,394 Vol.
España
17%
Francia
16%
Portugal
11%
Inglaterra
10%
Brasil
8%
Argentina
8%
Alemania
5%
Países Bajos
5%
Noruega
3%
Bélgica
2%
USA
2%
Japón
2%
Marruecos
2%
Colombia
2%
Turquía
1%
México
1%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Escocia
<1%
Suecia
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Australia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
España 16.7%
Francia 16.1%
Portugal 10.5%
Inglaterra 9.7%
$2,226,136,394 Vol.
$2,226,136,394 Vol.
España
17%
Francia
16%
Portugal
11%
Inglaterra
10%
Brasil
8%
Argentina
8%
Alemania
5%
Países Bajos
5%
Noruega
3%
Bélgica
2%
USA
2%
Japón
2%
Marruecos
2%
Colombia
2%
Turquía
1%
México
1%
Suiza
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Escocia
<1%
Suecia
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Australia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the World Cup winner market due to their elite squad depth, recent major-tournament pedigree, and favorable early draw positions in the expanded 48-team field. Spain carries momentum from its Euro 2024 title and features young talents like Lamine Yamal, while France relies on Kylian Mbappé and a deep roster. Portugal, England, Brazil, and Argentina follow closely, supported by star power and consistent FIFA rankings near the top. Early group-stage results, including the United States’ 4-1 win over Paraguay, have produced minor shifts but left the overall hierarchy stable. The bunched probabilities underscore a wide-open field where multiple contenders possess comparable paths through the group stage and knockout rounds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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