Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as co-leaders in trader consensus, reflecting their status as pre-tournament favorites entering the expanded 48-team field hosted across North America. Spain’s edge stems from Euro 2024 success and a dynamic squad featuring young talents, while France counters with exceptional depth and experience under Didier Deschamps. England follows closely on the back of consistent major-tournament runs and strong qualification form. The bunched probabilities highlight a competitive landscape where multiple European sides possess realistic paths through group stages and knockouts, with Argentina and Brazil providing South American counterbalance amid the tournament’s increased unpredictability and schedule demands.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEspaña 16.4%
Francia 16.1%
Inglaterra 10.8%
Portugal 10.4%
$1,934,821,288 Vol.
$1,934,821,288 Vol.
España
16%
Francia
16%
Inglaterra
11%
Portugal
10%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Alemania
5%
Países Bajos
4%
Noruega
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Japón
2%
Marruecos
2%
México
1%
Suiza
1%
Turquía
1%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Suecia
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Escocia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
España 16.4%
Francia 16.1%
Inglaterra 10.8%
Portugal 10.4%
$1,934,821,288 Vol.
$1,934,821,288 Vol.
España
16%
Francia
16%
Inglaterra
11%
Portugal
10%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Alemania
5%
Países Bajos
4%
Noruega
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Japón
2%
Marruecos
2%
México
1%
Suiza
1%
Turquía
1%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Suecia
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Escocia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as co-leaders in trader consensus, reflecting their status as pre-tournament favorites entering the expanded 48-team field hosted across North America. Spain’s edge stems from Euro 2024 success and a dynamic squad featuring young talents, while France counters with exceptional depth and experience under Didier Deschamps. England follows closely on the back of consistent major-tournament runs and strong qualification form. The bunched probabilities highlight a competitive landscape where multiple European sides possess realistic paths through group stages and knockouts, with Argentina and Brazil providing South American counterbalance amid the tournament’s increased unpredictability and schedule demands.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes