Spain and France lead the World Cup winner market at 17% and 16.1% implied probability due to their recent European success and squad depth, with Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil clustered just behind. Spain built momentum from its Euro 2024 title through dynamic possession play and emerging talents, while France fields one of the deepest rosters across positions. England benefits from a new managerial setup and consistent qualifying form, and Portugal leverages veteran leadership alongside rising contributors. Argentina and Brazil add historical pedigree and attacking quality, but the expanded 48-team format and balanced group-stage matchups sustain competitive uncertainty among the top tier. This tight clustering reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing comparable paths through the knockout stages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEspaña 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Portugal 10.9%
Inglaterra 10.8%
$1,950,315,364 Vol.
$1,950,315,364 Vol.
España
17%
Francia
16%
Portugal
11%
Inglaterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Alemania
5%
Países Bajos
4%
Noruega
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Japón
2%
Marruecos
2%
México
1%
Suiza
1%
Turquía
1%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Suecia
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Escocia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
España 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Portugal 10.9%
Inglaterra 10.8%
$1,950,315,364 Vol.
$1,950,315,364 Vol.
España
17%
Francia
16%
Portugal
11%
Inglaterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Alemania
5%
Países Bajos
4%
Noruega
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Japón
2%
Marruecos
2%
México
1%
Suiza
1%
Turquía
1%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Suecia
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Escocia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France lead the World Cup winner market at 17% and 16.1% implied probability due to their recent European success and squad depth, with Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil clustered just behind. Spain built momentum from its Euro 2024 title through dynamic possession play and emerging talents, while France fields one of the deepest rosters across positions. England benefits from a new managerial setup and consistent qualifying form, and Portugal leverages veteran leadership alongside rising contributors. Argentina and Brazil add historical pedigree and attacking quality, but the expanded 48-team format and balanced group-stage matchups sustain competitive uncertainty among the top tier. This tight clustering reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing comparable paths through the knockout stages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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