Spain's status as reigning European champions with a deep, youthful squad anchored by talents like Lamine Yamal underpins its narrow lead in trader sentiment, though France's proven depth and attacking options keep the gap minimal. England’s flawless qualifying campaign and squad stability, Portugal’s veteran leadership alongside Ronaldo, and Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree create tight clustering among the top six. Brazil’s resurgence under Ancelotti and Germany’s traditional strength add further parity, while the expanded 48-team format and co-host advantages heighten outcome uncertainty for all contenders entering the group stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEspaña 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Portugal 11.1%
Inglaterra 10.8%
$1,947,538,959 Vol.
$1,947,538,959 Vol.
20 jul 2026
España
17%
Francia
16%
Portugal
11%
Inglaterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Alemania
5%
Países Bajos
4%
Noruega
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Japón
2%
Marruecos
2%
México
1%
Suiza
1%
Turquía
1%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Suecia
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Escocia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
España 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Portugal 11.1%
Inglaterra 10.8%
$1,947,538,959 Vol.
$1,947,538,959 Vol.
20 jul 2026
España
$37,258,534 Vol.
17%
Francia
$43,730,946 Vol.
16%
Portugal
$38,955,084 Vol.
11%
Inglaterra
$32,232,032 Vol.
11%
Argentina
$34,488,134 Vol.
9%
Brasil
$33,812,834 Vol.
8%
Alemania
$35,667,452 Vol.
5%
Países Bajos
$38,307,671 Vol.
4%
Noruega
$36,947,024 Vol.
2%
Bélgica
$39,945,564 Vol.
2%
Colombia
$39,555,705 Vol.
2%
Japón
$39,883,636 Vol.
2%
Marruecos
$43,664,802 Vol.
2%
México
$43,641,868 Vol.
1%
Suiza
$38,550,169 Vol.
1%
Turquía
$36,739,547 Vol.
1%
USA
$56,330,560 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$39,230,714 Vol.
1%
Croacia
$44,905,442 Vol.
1%
Ecuador
$44,627,581 Vol.
1%
Senegal
$38,704,623 Vol.
1%
Costa de Marfil
$52,387,928 Vol.
<1%
Austria
$42,976,660 Vol.
<1%
Canadá
$43,936,368 Vol.
<1%
Suecia
$29,601,615 Vol.
<1%
Corea del Sur
$48,134,422 Vol.
<1%
Escocia
$42,099,734 Vol.
<1%
Egipto
$51,009,791 Vol.
<1%
Irán
$44,351,932 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$36,699,649 Vol.
<1%
Argelia
$44,551,505 Vol.
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
$27,650,932 Vol.
<1%
Paraguay
$41,906,085 Vol.
<1%
RD del Congo
$57,555,343 Vol.
<1%
Chequia
$30,867,849 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$45,955,206 Vol.
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
$45,473,807 Vol.
<1%
Haití
$32,022,191 Vol.
<1%
Jordania
$31,607,892 Vol.
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
$41,613,224 Vol.
<1%
Túnez
$35,503,084 Vol.
<1%
Uzbekistán
$59,656,927 Vol.
<1%
Panamá
$19,349,383 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$28,864,643 Vol.
<1%
Sudáfrica
$38,232,445 Vol.
<1%
Cabo Verde
$40,166,103 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$41,894,617 Vol.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$47,595,315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's status as reigning European champions with a deep, youthful squad anchored by talents like Lamine Yamal underpins its narrow lead in trader sentiment, though France's proven depth and attacking options keep the gap minimal. England’s flawless qualifying campaign and squad stability, Portugal’s veteran leadership alongside Ronaldo, and Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree create tight clustering among the top six. Brazil’s resurgence under Ancelotti and Germany’s traditional strength add further parity, while the expanded 48-team format and co-host advantages heighten outcome uncertainty for all contenders entering the group stage.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$1,947,538,959Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's status as reigning European champions with a deep, youthful squad anchored by talents like Lamine Yamal underpins its narrow lead in trader sentiment, though France's proven depth and attacking options keep the gap minimal. England’s flawless qualifying campaign and squad stability, Portugal’s veteran leadership alongside Ronaldo, and Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree create tight clustering among the top six. Brazil’s resurgence under Ancelotti and Germany’s traditional strength add further parity, while the expanded 48-team format and co-host advantages heighten outcome uncertainty for all contenders entering the group stage.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,947,538,959Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's status as reigning European champions with a deep, youthful squad anchored by talents like Lamine Yamal underpins its narrow lead in trader sentiment, though France's proven depth and attacking options keep the gap minimal. England’s flawless qualifying campaign and squad stability, Portugal’s veteran leadership alongside Ronaldo, and Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree create tight clustering among the top six. Brazil’s resurgence under Ancelotti and Germany’s traditional strength add further parity, while the expanded 48-team format and co-host advantages heighten outcome uncertainty for all contenders entering the group stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes