Spain leads the tightly bunched World Cup winner probabilities at 17% due to its status as defending European champions and recent strong results in friendlies, while France sits just behind at 16% on the strength of its elite squad depth and star power. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil trail closely in the 8-11% range, reflecting comparable recent form, high FIFA rankings, and proven tournament pedigrees among the top contenders. With the expanded field and no dominant side separating itself in pre-tournament preparations, the competitive balance across these nations—bolstered by solid qualification records and minimal disruption from injuries—has kept implied probabilities clustered as traders weigh multiple realistic paths to the July final.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEspaña 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Inglaterra 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,958,866,297 Vol.
$1,958,866,297 Vol.
España
17%
Francia
16%
Inglaterra
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Alemania
5%
Países Bajos
4%
Noruega
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Japón
2%
Marruecos
2%
México
1%
Suiza
1%
Turquía
1%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Suecia
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Escocia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
España 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Inglaterra 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,958,866,297 Vol.
$1,958,866,297 Vol.
España
17%
Francia
16%
Inglaterra
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Alemania
5%
Países Bajos
4%
Noruega
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Japón
2%
Marruecos
2%
México
1%
Suiza
1%
Turquía
1%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Suecia
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Escocia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain leads the tightly bunched World Cup winner probabilities at 17% due to its status as defending European champions and recent strong results in friendlies, while France sits just behind at 16% on the strength of its elite squad depth and star power. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil trail closely in the 8-11% range, reflecting comparable recent form, high FIFA rankings, and proven tournament pedigrees among the top contenders. With the expanded field and no dominant side separating itself in pre-tournament preparations, the competitive balance across these nations—bolstered by solid qualification records and minimal disruption from injuries—has kept implied probabilities clustered as traders weigh multiple realistic paths to the July final.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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