Spain leads the 2026 World Cup winner market at an implied 17% probability, narrowly ahead of France, as trader consensus reflects La Roja’s Euro 2024 title, consistent Nations League success, and a balanced squad featuring Lamine Yamal alongside experienced midfield control. France sits close behind due to exceptional squad depth and repeated final appearances in recent cycles, while England, Portugal, and defending champions Argentina remain tightly grouped on the strength of attacking talent and historical knockout resilience. Recent pre-tournament power rankings and injury updates, including absences for several contenders, have kept probabilities clustered among the leading European sides and Argentina rather than opening significant gaps. The expanded 48-team format and co-host dynamics further support the competitive spread reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEspaña 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Inglaterra 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,959,937,620 Vol.
$1,959,937,620 Vol.
España
17%
Francia
16%
Inglaterra
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Alemania
5%
Países Bajos
4%
Noruega
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Japón
2%
Marruecos
2%
México
1%
Suiza
1%
Turquía
1%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Suecia
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Escocia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
España 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Inglaterra 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,959,937,620 Vol.
$1,959,937,620 Vol.
España
17%
Francia
16%
Inglaterra
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Alemania
5%
Países Bajos
4%
Noruega
2%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Japón
2%
Marruecos
2%
México
1%
Suiza
1%
Turquía
1%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Suecia
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Escocia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Irán
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain leads the 2026 World Cup winner market at an implied 17% probability, narrowly ahead of France, as trader consensus reflects La Roja’s Euro 2024 title, consistent Nations League success, and a balanced squad featuring Lamine Yamal alongside experienced midfield control. France sits close behind due to exceptional squad depth and repeated final appearances in recent cycles, while England, Portugal, and defending champions Argentina remain tightly grouped on the strength of attacking talent and historical knockout resilience. Recent pre-tournament power rankings and injury updates, including absences for several contenders, have kept probabilities clustered among the leading European sides and Argentina rather than opening significant gaps. The expanded 48-team format and co-host dynamics further support the competitive spread reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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