Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a narrow edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Yilan County magistrate race, ahead of Kuomintang nominee Wu Tsung-hsien and Taiwan People's Party nominee Chen Wan-hui. A May 2026 joint KMT-TPP poll led to Wu securing the unified opposition slot after outperforming Chen, narrowing what had been a fragmented field and prompting immediate endorsement from the TPP. Earlier March surveys showed Lin ahead by roughly 3 points amid high undecided shares, reflecting his local organizational base and public service record against Wu's legislative profile and opposition consolidation push. The tight implied probabilities stem from Yilan's competitive electoral history, ongoing campaign activities including policy-focused events on issues like industry development, and the absence of decisive late-summer polling shifts. Scheduled fall debates, turnout mobilization, and any further alliance signals could alter the balance before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLin Kuo-chang 56%
Wu Tsung-hsien 37%
Chen Wan-hui 5%
Chang Sheng-te 1.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2027
Lin Kuo-chang
56%
Wu Tsung-hsien
37%
Chen Wan-hui
5%
Chang Sheng-te
1%
Lin Kuo-chang 56%
Wu Tsung-hsien 37%
Chen Wan-hui 5%
Chang Sheng-te 1.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2027
Lin Kuo-chang
$1,168 Vol.
56%
Wu Tsung-hsien
$1,359 Vol.
37%
Chen Wan-hui
$333 Vol.
5%
Chang Sheng-te
$262 Vol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a narrow edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Yilan County magistrate race, ahead of Kuomintang nominee Wu Tsung-hsien and Taiwan People's Party nominee Chen Wan-hui. A May 2026 joint KMT-TPP poll led to Wu securing the unified opposition slot after outperforming Chen, narrowing what had been a fragmented field and prompting immediate endorsement from the TPP. Earlier March surveys showed Lin ahead by roughly 3 points amid high undecided shares, reflecting his local organizational base and public service record against Wu's legislative profile and opposition consolidation push. The tight implied probabilities stem from Yilan's competitive electoral history, ongoing campaign activities including policy-focused events on issues like industry development, and the absence of decisive late-summer polling shifts. Scheduled fall debates, turnout mobilization, and any further alliance signals could alter the balance before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Volumen
$3,122Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a narrow edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Yilan County magistrate race, ahead of Kuomintang nominee Wu Tsung-hsien and Taiwan People's Party nominee Chen Wan-hui. A May 2026 joint KMT-TPP poll led to Wu securing the unified opposition slot after outperforming Chen, narrowing what had been a fragmented field and prompting immediate endorsement from the TPP. Earlier March surveys showed Lin ahead by roughly 3 points amid high undecided shares, reflecting his local organizational base and public service record against Wu's legislative profile and opposition consolidation push. The tight implied probabilities stem from Yilan's competitive electoral history, ongoing campaign activities including policy-focused events on issues like industry development, and the absence of decisive late-summer polling shifts. Scheduled fall debates, turnout mobilization, and any further alliance signals could alter the balance before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$3,122Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a narrow edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Yilan County magistrate race, ahead of Kuomintang nominee Wu Tsung-hsien and Taiwan People's Party nominee Chen Wan-hui. A May 2026 joint KMT-TPP poll led to Wu securing the unified opposition slot after outperforming Chen, narrowing what had been a fragmented field and prompting immediate endorsement from the TPP. Earlier March surveys showed Lin ahead by roughly 3 points amid high undecided shares, reflecting his local organizational base and public service record against Wu's legislative profile and opposition consolidation push. The tight implied probabilities stem from Yilan's competitive electoral history, ongoing campaign activities including policy-focused events on issues like industry development, and the absence of decisive late-summer polling shifts. Scheduled fall debates, turnout mobilization, and any further alliance signals could alter the balance before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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