KMT legislator Chang Chia-chun holds an 83.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for the November 28, 2026 Yunlin County magistrate election after her March 2026 nomination by the party, which highlighted her legislative record and ties to the influential local Chang political family that has shaped county governance. This positioning draws on the party's recent control of the magistracy and voter base in the agricultural county. DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo, the primary challenger at 10%, previously lost to the incumbent KMT magistrate in 2018, reflecting structural headwinds for opposition candidates. Other listed contenders register minimal trader consensus, consistent with limited visible momentum or party backing in recent months. Scheduled local voting and any late primary or alliance shifts could still influence final positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2027
Chang Chia-chun
84%
Liu Chien-kuo
10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2027
Chang Chia-chun
$844 Vol.
84%
Liu Chien-kuo
$402 Vol.
10%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).KMT legislator Chang Chia-chun holds an 83.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for the November 28, 2026 Yunlin County magistrate election after her March 2026 nomination by the party, which highlighted her legislative record and ties to the influential local Chang political family that has shaped county governance. This positioning draws on the party's recent control of the magistracy and voter base in the agricultural county. DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo, the primary challenger at 10%, previously lost to the incumbent KMT magistrate in 2018, reflecting structural headwinds for opposition candidates. Other listed contenders register minimal trader consensus, consistent with limited visible momentum or party backing in recent months. Scheduled local voting and any late primary or alliance shifts could still influence final positioning.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Volumen
$1,246Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).KMT legislator Chang Chia-chun holds an 83.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for the November 28, 2026 Yunlin County magistrate election after her March 2026 nomination by the party, which highlighted her legislative record and ties to the influential local Chang political family that has shaped county governance. This positioning draws on the party's recent control of the magistracy and voter base in the agricultural county. DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo, the primary challenger at 10%, previously lost to the incumbent KMT magistrate in 2018, reflecting structural headwinds for opposition candidates. Other listed contenders register minimal trader consensus, consistent with limited visible momentum or party backing in recent months. Scheduled local voting and any late primary or alliance shifts could still influence final positioning.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$1,246Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...KMT legislator Chang Chia-chun holds an 83.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for the November 28, 2026 Yunlin County magistrate election after her March 2026 nomination by the party, which highlighted her legislative record and ties to the influential local Chang political family that has shaped county governance. This positioning draws on the party's recent control of the magistracy and voter base in the agricultural county. DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo, the primary challenger at 10%, previously lost to the incumbent KMT magistrate in 2018, reflecting structural headwinds for opposition candidates. Other listed contenders register minimal trader consensus, consistent with limited visible momentum or party backing in recent months. Scheduled local voting and any late primary or alliance shifts could still influence final positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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