Zhang Youxia’s removal from the state Central Military Commission in late August 2026, following a January investigation for serious violations of discipline and law, has not been accompanied by any public trial, conviction, or sentencing announcement. The ongoing anti-corruption drive within the People’s Liberation Army has produced administrative dismissals and, in separate cases involving lower-ranking officers, suspended death sentences, yet high-level probes of this nature frequently conclude through internal party mechanisms rather than formal judicial prison terms. With no confirmed court dates or verdicts reported before the 2027 horizon and Zhang’s whereabouts remaining undisclosed, traders assign only a low implied probability to an actual prison sentence materializing in the remaining window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
10% probabilidad
$159,834 Vol.
$159,834 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sí
10% probabilidad
$159,834 Vol.
$159,834 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia’s removal from the state Central Military Commission in late August 2026, following a January investigation for serious violations of discipline and law, has not been accompanied by any public trial, conviction, or sentencing announcement. The ongoing anti-corruption drive within the People’s Liberation Army has produced administrative dismissals and, in separate cases involving lower-ranking officers, suspended death sentences, yet high-level probes of this nature frequently conclude through internal party mechanisms rather than formal judicial prison terms. With no confirmed court dates or verdicts reported before the 2027 horizon and Zhang’s whereabouts remaining undisclosed, traders assign only a low implied probability to an actual prison sentence materializing in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Volumen
$159,834Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia’s removal from the state Central Military Commission in late August 2026, following a January investigation for serious violations of discipline and law, has not been accompanied by any public trial, conviction, or sentencing announcement. The ongoing anti-corruption drive within the People’s Liberation Army has produced administrative dismissals and, in separate cases involving lower-ranking officers, suspended death sentences, yet high-level probes of this nature frequently conclude through internal party mechanisms rather than formal judicial prison terms. With no confirmed court dates or verdicts reported before the 2027 horizon and Zhang’s whereabouts remaining undisclosed, traders assign only a low implied probability to an actual prison sentence materializing in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$159,834Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zhang Youxia’s removal from the state Central Military Commission in late August 2026, following a January investigation for serious violations of discipline and law, has not been accompanied by any public trial, conviction, or sentencing announcement. The ongoing anti-corruption drive within the People’s Liberation Army has produced administrative dismissals and, in separate cases involving lower-ranking officers, suspended death sentences, yet high-level probes of this nature frequently conclude through internal party mechanisms rather than formal judicial prison terms. With no confirmed court dates or verdicts reported before the 2027 horizon and Zhang’s whereabouts remaining undisclosed, traders assign only a low implied probability to an actual prison sentence materializing in the remaining window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes