The tightly bunched probabilities for the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid and Blitz Croatia reflect a stacked field of elite grandmasters whose rapid and blitz ratings, recent speed-chess results, and head-to-head records sit within a narrow band. Anish Giri edges the consensus on the strength of consistent recent form and experience in time-pressure formats, but Nodirbek Abdusattorov, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, and Gukesh Dommaraju sit just behind thanks to strong showings in prior Grand Chess Tour legs and high rapid/blitz peaks. Vincent Keymer and Alireza Firouzja add further depth with current world rankings near the top five, while the lower-priced names like Jorden van Foreest and Bogdan-Daniel Deac remain live underdogs capable of exploiting any variance in a short, high-stakes round-robin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAnish Giri 35%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 33%
Gukesh Dommaraju 33%
Vincent Keymer 30%
Anish Giri
35%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
33%
Gukesh Dommaraju
33%
Vincent Keymer
30%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
30%
Alireza Firouzja
28%
Jorden Van Foreest
22%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
18%
Ivan Saric
18%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
37%
Anish Giri 35%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 33%
Gukesh Dommaraju 33%
Vincent Keymer 30%
Anish Giri
35%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
33%
Gukesh Dommaraju
33%
Vincent Keymer
30%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
30%
Alireza Firouzja
28%
Jorden Van Foreest
22%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
18%
Ivan Saric
18%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
37%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament per the rules of the Grand Chess Tour, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after July 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Grand Chess Tour; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 8:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament per the rules of the Grand Chess Tour, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after July 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Grand Chess Tour; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched probabilities for the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid and Blitz Croatia reflect a stacked field of elite grandmasters whose rapid and blitz ratings, recent speed-chess results, and head-to-head records sit within a narrow band. Anish Giri edges the consensus on the strength of consistent recent form and experience in time-pressure formats, but Nodirbek Abdusattorov, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, and Gukesh Dommaraju sit just behind thanks to strong showings in prior Grand Chess Tour legs and high rapid/blitz peaks. Vincent Keymer and Alireza Firouzja add further depth with current world rankings near the top five, while the lower-priced names like Jorden van Foreest and Bogdan-Daniel Deac remain live underdogs capable of exploiting any variance in a short, high-stakes round-robin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions