Recent tracking data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 25–30 posts per day in early June 2026, including a 198-tweet week from June 5–12, which sets a baseline expectation of 75–90 tweets over the three-day window. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 40–64 and 65–89 brackets as the most probable outcomes because they align with his established range during quieter periods, when activity dips below peak news-driven spikes. Weekend timing and the absence of major product launches, regulatory announcements, or high-profile controversies in the immediate lead-up have tempered expectations of elevated volume, though Musk’s posting remains highly variable and can surge with any breaking Tesla, xAI, or X developments. Upcoming chart updates or real-time monitoring of his account through the period will serve as the primary swing factors for these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertElon Musk # tweets 13. Juni - 15. Juni 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets 13. Juni - 15. Juni 2026?
40-64 43%
65-89 34%
90-114 12%
<40 9%
NEU
$23,674 Vol.
NEU
$23,674 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
<40
9%
40-64
43%
65-89
34%
90-114
12%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 43%
65-89 34%
90-114 12%
<40 9%
NEU
$23,674 Vol.
NEU
$23,674 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
<40
$591 Vol.
9%
40-64
$93 Vol.
43%
65-89
$316 Vol.
34%
90-114
$376 Vol.
12%
115-139
$249 Vol.
2%
140-164
$301 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,772 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$7,088 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$7,088 Vol.
<1%
240+
$5,818 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent tracking data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 25–30 posts per day in early June 2026, including a 198-tweet week from June 5–12, which sets a baseline expectation of 75–90 tweets over the three-day window. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 40–64 and 65–89 brackets as the most probable outcomes because they align with his established range during quieter periods, when activity dips below peak news-driven spikes. Weekend timing and the absence of major product launches, regulatory announcements, or high-profile controversies in the immediate lead-up have tempered expectations of elevated volume, though Musk’s posting remains highly variable and can surge with any breaking Tesla, xAI, or X developments. Upcoming chart updates or real-time monitoring of his account through the period will serve as the primary swing factors for these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volumen
$23,674Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent tracking data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 25–30 posts per day in early June 2026, including a 198-tweet week from June 5–12, which sets a baseline expectation of 75–90 tweets over the three-day window. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 40–64 and 65–89 brackets as the most probable outcomes because they align with his established range during quieter periods, when activity dips below peak news-driven spikes. Weekend timing and the absence of major product launches, regulatory announcements, or high-profile controversies in the immediate lead-up have tempered expectations of elevated volume, though Musk’s posting remains highly variable and can surge with any breaking Tesla, xAI, or X developments. Upcoming chart updates or real-time monitoring of his account through the period will serve as the primary swing factors for these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$23,674Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent tracking data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 25–30 posts per day in early June 2026, including a 198-tweet week from June 5–12, which sets a baseline expectation of 75–90 tweets over the three-day window. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 40–64 and 65–89 brackets as the most probable outcomes because they align with his established range during quieter periods, when activity dips below peak news-driven spikes. Weekend timing and the absence of major product launches, regulatory announcements, or high-profile controversies in the immediate lead-up have tempered expectations of elevated volume, though Musk’s posting remains highly variable and can surge with any breaking Tesla, xAI, or X developments. Upcoming chart updates or real-time monitoring of his account through the period will serve as the primary swing factors for these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen