Trader consensus in this market centers on a peak of 25–26°C for Chongqing on June 28, with those outcomes together capturing nearly half the probability. This positioning aligns with regional model guidance showing moderating daytime highs driven by increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall associated with the East Asian monsoon’s northward progression. Subtropical moisture and orographic lift from surrounding terrain often suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal climatology of 30–32°C, while urban heat-island effects in the city core add modest warming that keeps values above 24°C. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in timing or intensity of convective activity can alter the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月28日の重慶の最高気温は?
25°C 35%
26°C 25%
24°C 23%
27°C 10%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
23%
25°C
35%
26°C
25%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 35%
26°C 25%
24°C 23%
27°C 10%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
23%
25°C
35%
26°C
25%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus in this market centers on a peak of 25–26°C for Chongqing on June 28, with those outcomes together capturing nearly half the probability. This positioning aligns with regional model guidance showing moderating daytime highs driven by increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall associated with the East Asian monsoon’s northward progression. Subtropical moisture and orographic lift from surrounding terrain often suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal climatology of 30–32°C, while urban heat-island effects in the city core add modest warming that keeps values above 24°C. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in timing or intensity of convective activity can alter the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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