Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a narrow band of possible daily maximum temperatures for Guangzhou on June 28, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds peaking at 32°C. Subtropical monsoon dynamics, including variable afternoon convection, cloud cover, and onshore flow from the South China Sea, create the primary forecast uncertainty. Typical late-June climatology features highs near 32°C, though the urban heat island effect in this densely built coastal city can add 1–2°C to daytime peaks under clear skies. Divergent model solutions on precipitation timing and wind strength differentiate the 31–34°C outcomes, with new guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 28?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 28?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$130,472 Vol.
$130,472 Vol.
28 giu 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$130,472 Vol.
$130,472 Vol.
28 giu 2026
26°C or below
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$14,711 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$22,063 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$20,117 Vol.
100%
31°C
$13,963 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$13,534 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$15,708 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$10,360 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$9,505 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$8,090 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a narrow band of possible daily maximum temperatures for Guangzhou on June 28, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds peaking at 32°C. Subtropical monsoon dynamics, including variable afternoon convection, cloud cover, and onshore flow from the South China Sea, create the primary forecast uncertainty. Typical late-June climatology features highs near 32°C, though the urban heat island effect in this densely built coastal city can add 1–2°C to daytime peaks under clear skies. Divergent model solutions on precipitation timing and wind strength differentiate the 31–34°C outcomes, with new guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$130,472Data di fine
28 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a narrow band of possible daily maximum temperatures for Guangzhou on June 28, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds peaking at 32°C. Subtropical monsoon dynamics, including variable afternoon convection, cloud cover, and onshore flow from the South China Sea, create the primary forecast uncertainty. Typical late-June climatology features highs near 32°C, though the urban heat island effect in this densely built coastal city can add 1–2°C to daytime peaks under clear skies. Divergent model solutions on precipitation timing and wind strength differentiate the 31–34°C outcomes, with new guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130,472Data di fine
28 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a narrow band of possible daily maximum temperatures for Guangzhou on June 28, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds peaking at 32°C. Subtropical monsoon dynamics, including variable afternoon convection, cloud cover, and onshore flow from the South China Sea, create the primary forecast uncertainty. Typical late-June climatology features highs near 32°C, though the urban heat island effect in this densely built coastal city can add 1–2°C to daytime peaks under clear skies. Divergent model solutions on precipitation timing and wind strength differentiate the 31–34°C outcomes, with new guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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