Wellington’s winter maximum temperatures are shaped by its exposed Cook Strait location, where frequent southerly flows and strong winds advect cooler maritime air, typically capping daily highs near the long-term June average of 13–14 °C. Current MetService guidance and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers and easing southerlies for 28 June, supporting a most-likely maximum of 11–12 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place air temperatures near average for the region, while short-range ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % probability on 12 °C and 24 % on 11 °C, aligns with this forecast consensus and the limited potential for warmer northerly advection before the date. Updated model runs or any late shift in wind direction could still adjust the exact bucket.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on June 28?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 28?
12°C 50%
11°C 39%
10°C 7.9%
13°C 5.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 28, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
8%
11°C
39%
12°C
50%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 50%
11°C 39%
10°C 7.9%
13°C 5.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 28, 2026
6°C or below
$332 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$365 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$142 ปริมาณ
1%
10°C
$235 ปริมาณ
8%
11°C
$952 ปริมาณ
39%
12°C
$922 ปริมาณ
50%
13°C
$929 ปริมาณ
5%
14°C
$238 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$134 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C or higher
$141 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s winter maximum temperatures are shaped by its exposed Cook Strait location, where frequent southerly flows and strong winds advect cooler maritime air, typically capping daily highs near the long-term June average of 13–14 °C. Current MetService guidance and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers and easing southerlies for 28 June, supporting a most-likely maximum of 11–12 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place air temperatures near average for the region, while short-range ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % probability on 12 °C and 24 % on 11 °C, aligns with this forecast consensus and the limited potential for warmer northerly advection before the date. Updated model runs or any late shift in wind direction could still adjust the exact bucket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,511วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s winter maximum temperatures are shaped by its exposed Cook Strait location, where frequent southerly flows and strong winds advect cooler maritime air, typically capping daily highs near the long-term June average of 13–14 °C. Current MetService guidance and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers and easing southerlies for 28 June, supporting a most-likely maximum of 11–12 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place air temperatures near average for the region, while short-range ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % probability on 12 °C and 24 % on 11 °C, aligns with this forecast consensus and the limited potential for warmer northerly advection before the date. Updated model runs or any late shift in wind direction could still adjust the exact bucket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,511วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington’s winter maximum temperatures are shaped by its exposed Cook Strait location, where frequent southerly flows and strong winds advect cooler maritime air, typically capping daily highs near the long-term June average of 13–14 °C. Current MetService guidance and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers and easing southerlies for 28 June, supporting a most-likely maximum of 11–12 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place air temperatures near average for the region, while short-range ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48 % probability on 12 °C and 24 % on 11 °C, aligns with this forecast consensus and the limited potential for warmer northerly advection before the date. Updated model runs or any late shift in wind direction could still adjust the exact bucket.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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