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icon for LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?

LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?

icon for LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?

LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?

Over

95% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

Over

95% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.With the June 2 Los Angeles mayoral primary now concluded and over 97% of ballots counted, Spencer Pratt has secured roughly 25.5% of the vote, placing third behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman. This near-final tally, combined with late mail-in and provisional ballot trends showing minimal shifts, underpins trader consensus that he cleared the 25% threshold. Pratt’s campaign, launched after losing his home in the Palisades Fire and fueled by celebrity visibility plus dissatisfaction with city leadership, drew strong initial support in early returns before Raman surged ahead during counting. The market reflects this established outcome rather than pre-election polling volatility, though any remaining uncounted ballots could theoretically adjust the precise percentage.

The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.

This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.

The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.

If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volume
$1,771
Data di fine
4 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.With the June 2 Los Angeles mayoral primary now concluded and over 97% of ballots counted, Spencer Pratt has secured roughly 25.5% of the vote, placing third behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman. This near-final tally, combined with late mail-in and provisional ballot trends showing minimal shifts, underpins trader consensus that he cleared the 25% threshold. Pratt’s campaign, launched after losing his home in the Palisades Fire and fueled by celebrity visibility plus dissatisfaction with city leadership, drew strong initial support in early returns before Raman surged ahead during counting. The market reflects this established outcome rather than pre-election polling volatility, though any remaining uncounted ballots could theoretically adjust the precise percentage.

The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.

This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.

The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.

If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volume
$1,778
Data di fine
4 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

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"LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?" a 95%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 7, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

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L'attuale favorito per "LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?" è "LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

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