Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate a minimum temperature on June 11 most likely in the 24–26°C range, driven by typical early-summer conditions of high humidity, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the latest HKO outlook reflect broader warming trends and neutral-to-weak ENSO influences, while localized factors such as urban heat retention and any brief showers could nudge the overnight low slightly lower or higher. Model spread remains modest given the short lead time, keeping the three central outcomes closely competitive as traders weigh the latest guidance updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 11. Juni?
25°C 39%
26°C 31%
24°C 26%
28°C 4%
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
26%
25°C
39%
26°C
31%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 39%
26°C 31%
24°C 26%
28°C 4%
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
26%
25°C
39%
26°C
31%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate a minimum temperature on June 11 most likely in the 24–26°C range, driven by typical early-summer conditions of high humidity, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the latest HKO outlook reflect broader warming trends and neutral-to-weak ENSO influences, while localized factors such as urban heat retention and any brief showers could nudge the overnight low slightly lower or higher. Model spread remains modest given the short lead time, keeping the three central outcomes closely competitive as traders weigh the latest guidance updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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