Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking on June 18, with clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating sustaining elevated overnight minima near 19–20°C in Paris. This pattern, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover, reduces radiative cooling and positions 18°C and 19°C as the most probable daily low outcomes according to current consensus runs. Traders appear to weigh slight model spread and potential localized urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities clustered around these values while discounting cooler scenarios below 17°C given the established warm anomaly. Updated model guidance expected overnight could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 जून को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
18°C 43%
19°C 29%
17°C 9%
20°C 7%
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
43%
19°C
29%
20°C
7%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C या अधिक
1%
18°C 43%
19°C 29%
17°C 9%
20°C 7%
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
43%
19°C
29%
20°C
7%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C या अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking on June 18, with clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating sustaining elevated overnight minima near 19–20°C in Paris. This pattern, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover, reduces radiative cooling and positions 18°C and 19°C as the most probable daily low outcomes according to current consensus runs. Traders appear to weigh slight model spread and potential localized urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities clustered around these values while discounting cooler scenarios below 17°C given the established warm anomaly. Updated model guidance expected overnight could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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