Jordan Staal has surged to a 56.7% implied probability for the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy as captain of the Carolina Hurricanes, who lead the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in the Stanley Cup Final. His record-tying goal in each of the first five Final games, plus leadership in high-danger goals and shots plus elite faceoff work, has driven the shift in trader sentiment. Mitch Marner of Vegas, previously the frontrunner after strong earlier playoff production, sits at 25.5% amid Carolina’s series edge. Supporting Carolina forwards Logan Stankoven, Taylor Hall, and Nikolaj Ehlers hold single-digit shares due to their line contributions and Frederik Andersen’s recent benching, while the wide field of longshots reflects the series’ tight, low-scoring nature and the award’s focus on playoff impact rather than regular-season totals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트NHL: 2026년 Conn Smythe 트로피 수상자
조던 스탈 56.7%
Mitch Marner 26%
테일러 홀 8%
로건 스탠코벤 6%
$160,290 거래량
$160,290 거래량
조던 스탈
57%
Mitch Marner
26%
테일러 홀
8%
로건 스탠코벤
6%
니콜라이 엘러스
6%
잭슨 블레이크
1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nikita Kucherov
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
카터 하트
<1%
브렛 하우든
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Alex Tuch
<1%
Dylan Guenther
<1%
Cutter Guanthier
<1%
Connor McDavid
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
라스무스 안데르손
<1%
노아 하니핀
<1%
윌리엄 칼손
<1%
셰이 시어도어
<1%
마크 스톤
<1%
토마시 허틀
<1%
이반 바르바셰프
<1%
브레이든 맥내브
<1%
콜튼 시슨스
<1%
파벨 도로페예프
<1%
안드레이 스베치니코프
<1%
야콥 슬라빈
<1%
제일런 채트필드
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
<1%
알렉산더 니키신
<1%
프레데리크 안데르센
<1%
조던 스탈 56.7%
Mitch Marner 26%
테일러 홀 8%
로건 스탠코벤 6%
$160,290 거래량
$160,290 거래량
조던 스탈
57%
Mitch Marner
26%
테일러 홀
8%
로건 스탠코벤
6%
니콜라이 엘러스
6%
잭슨 블레이크
1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nikita Kucherov
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
카터 하트
<1%
브렛 하우든
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Alex Tuch
<1%
Dylan Guenther
<1%
Cutter Guanthier
<1%
Connor McDavid
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
라스무스 안데르손
<1%
노아 하니핀
<1%
윌리엄 칼손
<1%
셰이 시어도어
<1%
마크 스톤
<1%
토마시 허틀
<1%
이반 바르바셰프
<1%
브레이든 맥내브
<1%
콜튼 시슨스
<1%
파벨 도로페예프
<1%
안드레이 스베치니코프
<1%
야콥 슬라빈
<1%
제일런 채트필드
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
<1%
알렉산더 니키신
<1%
프레데리크 안데르센
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jordan Staal has surged to a 56.7% implied probability for the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy as captain of the Carolina Hurricanes, who lead the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in the Stanley Cup Final. His record-tying goal in each of the first five Final games, plus leadership in high-danger goals and shots plus elite faceoff work, has driven the shift in trader sentiment. Mitch Marner of Vegas, previously the frontrunner after strong earlier playoff production, sits at 25.5% amid Carolina’s series edge. Supporting Carolina forwards Logan Stankoven, Taylor Hall, and Nikolaj Ehlers hold single-digit shares due to their line contributions and Frederik Andersen’s recent benching, while the wide field of longshots reflects the series’ tight, low-scoring nature and the award’s focus on playoff impact rather than regular-season totals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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