Trader sentiment positions Anthropic in the lead with a 46% implied probability for the best math AI model by end of June, reflecting strong recent benchmark results from its Claude large language models on complex reasoning and problem-solving tasks. Google follows at 29.5% amid Gemini advancements that have improved competitive positioning in mathematical capabilities relative to peers. OpenAI trails at 14% despite prior strengths in reasoning-focused releases, while remaining entrants hold negligible shares as their models lag in independent evaluations. As the June resolution nears, any new capability demonstrations, benchmark updates, or model releases could alter the current trader consensus driven by verifiable performance data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhich company has the best Math AI model end of June?
Anthropic 50%
Google 29%
OpenAI 15%
Z.ai <1%
$186,970 Vol.
$186,970 Vol.

Anthropic
50%

29%

OpenAI
15%

Z.ai
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

xAI
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Meta
<1%

Baidu
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 50%
Google 29%
OpenAI 15%
Z.ai <1%
$186,970 Vol.
$186,970 Vol.

Anthropic
50%

29%

OpenAI
15%

Z.ai
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

xAI
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Meta
<1%

Baidu
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment positions Anthropic in the lead with a 46% implied probability for the best math AI model by end of June, reflecting strong recent benchmark results from its Claude large language models on complex reasoning and problem-solving tasks. Google follows at 29.5% amid Gemini advancements that have improved competitive positioning in mathematical capabilities relative to peers. OpenAI trails at 14% despite prior strengths in reasoning-focused releases, while remaining entrants hold negligible shares as their models lag in independent evaluations. As the June resolution nears, any new capability demonstrations, benchmark updates, or model releases could alter the current trader consensus driven by verifiable performance data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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