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icon for Qui sera le prochain administrateur Trump à être nommé SCOTUS Justice ?

Qui sera le prochain administrateur Trump à être nommé SCOTUS Justice ?

icon for Qui sera le prochain administrateur Trump à être nommé SCOTUS Justice ?

Qui sera le prochain administrateur Trump à être nommé SCOTUS Justice ?

Aileen Cannon 14%

James Ho 14%

Neomi Rao 14%

Andrew Oldham 12%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Aileen Cannon 14%

James Ho 14%

Neomi Rao 14%

Andrew Oldham 12%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

John Sauer

$55 Vol.

10%

Mike Lee

$66 Vol.

8%

Ted Cruz

$70 Vol.

10%

Andrew Oldham

$245 Vol.

12%

Aileen Cannon

$58 Vol.

14%

James Ho

$49 Vol.

14%

Neomi Rao

$72 Vol.

14%

Gregory Katsas

$53 Vol.

8%

Patrick Bumatay

$42 Vol.

13%

Steven Menashi

$67 Vol.

14%

Amul Thapar

$43 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Speculation about possible retirements by aging conservative justices like Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, yet no vacancy has materialized by mid-2026. With a wide field of Trump-appointed circuit judges and Republican senators under consideration—including James Ho, Neomi Rao, Andrew Oldham, Amul Thapar, Patrick Bumatay, Steven Menashi, Aileen Cannon, Gregory Katsas, John Sauer, Mike Lee, and Ted Cruz—the market reflects broad uncertainty over the president's eventual choice and Senate confirmation dynamics. Recent end-of-term retirement chatter and ongoing judicial writings have kept probabilities tightly clustered, as no single candidate has received decisive public signals. A formal retirement announcement, targeted presidential endorsement, or shifting Senate priorities could quickly differentiate leading contenders.

This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.

If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$820
Date de fin
19 janv. 2029
Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Speculation about possible retirements by aging conservative justices like Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, yet no vacancy has materialized by mid-2026. With a wide field of Trump-appointed circuit judges and Republican senators under consideration—including James Ho, Neomi Rao, Andrew Oldham, Amul Thapar, Patrick Bumatay, Steven Menashi, Aileen Cannon, Gregory Katsas, John Sauer, Mike Lee, and Ted Cruz—the market reflects broad uncertainty over the president's eventual choice and Senate confirmation dynamics. Recent end-of-term retirement chatter and ongoing judicial writings have kept probabilities tightly clustered, as no single candidate has received decisive public signals. A formal retirement announcement, targeted presidential endorsement, or shifting Senate priorities could quickly differentiate leading contenders.

This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.

If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$820
Date de fin
19 janv. 2029
Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui sera le prochain administrateur Trump à être nommé SCOTUS Justice ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aileen Cannon » à 14%, suivi de « James Ho » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 14¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 14% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Qui sera le prochain administrateur Trump à être nommé SCOTUS Justice ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 24, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Qui sera le prochain administrateur Trump à être nommé SCOTUS Justice ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui sera le prochain administrateur Trump à être nommé SCOTUS Justice ? » est « Aileen Cannon » à 14%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 14% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « James Ho » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui sera le prochain administrateur Trump à être nommé SCOTUS Justice ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.