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Palakasan·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
Palakasan·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Ilia Topuria 68%

Arman Tsarukyan 19.3%

Justin Gaethje 8.5%

Charles Oliveira 7.3%

Polymarket

$605,359 Vol.

Ilia Topuria 68%

Arman Tsarukyan 19.3%

Justin Gaethje 8.5%

Charles Oliveira 7.3%

Polymarket

$605,359 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$11,064 Vol.

68%

Arman Tsarukyan

$3,237 Vol.

16%

Charles Oliveira

$2,881 Vol.

7%

Max Holloway

$11,824 Vol.

<1%

Justin Gaethje

$4,279 Vol.

12%

Paddy Pimblett

$519,727 Vol.

<1%

Dan Hooker

$1,110 Vol.

<1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$726 Vol.

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$48,125 Vol.

3%

Rafael Fiziev

$1,081 Vol.

<1%

Renato Moicano

$1,317 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Ruffy

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria holds an overwhelming 68% implied probability to finish 2026 as UFC Lightweight champion, reflecting his status as the undisputed titleholder after capturing the vacant belt via first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira in 2025 and his return from a personal hiatus to face interim champion Justin Gaethje in a unification bout tonight. Gaethje’s 12.1% share stems from his interim reign and veteran power, while Arman Tsarukyan sits at 17.6% as the consensus next contender with strong recent form and a targeted title shot potentially arriving in the fall. Lower-priced names like Charles Oliveira and Benoît Saint Denis reflect established records but limited near-term paths past the current hierarchy, with market pricing underscoring Topuria’s perceived dominance and activity advantage heading into the second half of the year.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$605,359
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria holds an overwhelming 68% implied probability to finish 2026 as UFC Lightweight champion, reflecting his status as the undisputed titleholder after capturing the vacant belt via first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira in 2025 and his return from a personal hiatus to face interim champion Justin Gaethje in a unification bout tonight. Gaethje’s 12.1% share stems from his interim reign and veteran power, while Arman Tsarukyan sits at 17.6% as the consensus next contender with strong recent form and a targeted title shot potentially arriving in the fall. Lower-priced names like Charles Oliveira and Benoît Saint Denis reflect established records but limited near-term paths past the current hierarchy, with market pricing underscoring Topuria’s perceived dominance and activity advantage heading into the second half of the year.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$605,359
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ilia Topuria" sa 68%, sinusundan ng "Arman Tsarukyan" sa 16%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 68¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $605.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 4, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay "Ilia Topuria" sa 68%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Arman Tsarukyan" sa 16%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.