The tightly bunched probabilities for France, Spain, and England reflect the depth of European squads entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where recent European Championship success, qualification consistency, and star-laden rosters create multiple viable title paths. Spain’s tactical cohesion under Luis de la Fuente and emerging talents have kept them competitive, while France’s blend of experience and attacking firepower sustains their edge despite a narrow qualification draw. England’s back-to-back major final appearances underscore their sustained momentum, with all three sides benefiting from favorable group draws and minimal injury concerns in the final weeks of preparation. This clustering highlights how historical pedigree and current form have compressed the gap among top contenders, leaving room for any to advance deep into the knockout stages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFrance 18.3%
Espagne 16.7%
Angleterre 11.3%
Brésil 9.2%
$1,012,137,075 Vol.
$1,012,137,075 Vol.
France
18%
Espagne
17%
Angleterre
11%
Brésil
9%
Argentine
8%
Portugal
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
3%
Norvège
2%
Japon
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
États-Unis
2%
Maroc
2%
Suisse
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexique
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Turquie
1%
Autriche
1%
Suède
1%
Canada
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
France 18.3%
Espagne 16.7%
Angleterre 11.3%
Brésil 9.2%
$1,012,137,075 Vol.
$1,012,137,075 Vol.
France
18%
Espagne
17%
Angleterre
11%
Brésil
9%
Argentine
8%
Portugal
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
3%
Norvège
2%
Japon
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
États-Unis
2%
Maroc
2%
Suisse
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexique
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Turquie
1%
Autriche
1%
Suède
1%
Canada
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tightly bunched probabilities for France, Spain, and England reflect the depth of European squads entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where recent European Championship success, qualification consistency, and star-laden rosters create multiple viable title paths. Spain’s tactical cohesion under Luis de la Fuente and emerging talents have kept them competitive, while France’s blend of experience and attacking firepower sustains their edge despite a narrow qualification draw. England’s back-to-back major final appearances underscore their sustained momentum, with all three sides benefiting from favorable group draws and minimal injury concerns in the final weeks of preparation. This clustering highlights how historical pedigree and current form have compressed the gap among top contenders, leaving room for any to advance deep into the knockout stages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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