The bunched probabilities among France, Spain, and England as narrow leaders reflect their strong recent form in Nations League matches and ongoing FIFA World Cup qualifying campaigns, where each side has shown defensive solidity and attacking depth. France maintains its edge through squad balance and experience from prior major tournaments, while Spain's youthful core and possession-based style have driven consistent results. England benefits from midfield control and home-nation familiarity in an expanded field. South American contenders like Brazil and Argentina stay competitive via individual talent and strong CONMEBOL campaigns, though variable results keep their implied probabilities close behind. This tight dynamic stems from multiple teams boasting high FIFA rankings, minimal major injuries, and favorable schedules ahead of the 2026 group stage draw.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFrance 17.3%
Espagne 16.6%
Angleterre 11.3%
Brésil 9.2%
$997,529,077 Vol.
$997,529,077 Vol.
France
17%
Espagne
17%
Angleterre
11%
Brésil
9%
Argentine
9%
Portugal
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
3%
Norvège
2%
Japon
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
États-Unis
2%
Maroc
2%
Suisse
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexique
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Turquie
1%
Autriche
1%
Suède
1%
Canada
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
France 17.3%
Espagne 16.6%
Angleterre 11.3%
Brésil 9.2%
$997,529,077 Vol.
$997,529,077 Vol.
France
17%
Espagne
17%
Angleterre
11%
Brésil
9%
Argentine
9%
Portugal
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
3%
Norvège
2%
Japon
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
États-Unis
2%
Maroc
2%
Suisse
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexique
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Turquie
1%
Autriche
1%
Suède
1%
Canada
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The bunched probabilities among France, Spain, and England as narrow leaders reflect their strong recent form in Nations League matches and ongoing FIFA World Cup qualifying campaigns, where each side has shown defensive solidity and attacking depth. France maintains its edge through squad balance and experience from prior major tournaments, while Spain's youthful core and possession-based style have driven consistent results. England benefits from midfield control and home-nation familiarity in an expanded field. South American contenders like Brazil and Argentina stay competitive via individual talent and strong CONMEBOL campaigns, though variable results keep their implied probabilities close behind. This tight dynamic stems from multiple teams boasting high FIFA rankings, minimal major injuries, and favorable schedules ahead of the 2026 group stage draw.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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