Recent results in March friendlies and ongoing squad preparations have kept the 2026 FIFA World Cup title race tightly bunched, with France and Spain trading narrow edges at the top of trader pricing. Spain’s unbeaten run and tactical cohesion since winning Euro 2024 contrast with France’s depth and Kylian Mbappé’s return to form, while Argentina’s defending-champion core faces questions over aging legs and Brazil contends with limited preparation time under Carlo Ancelotti. England, Portugal, and Germany round out a cluster of European sides boasting strong recent records and favorable group-stage paths, creating a situation where small roster tweaks or fitness updates can shift implied probabilities among the leading contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFrance 17.8%
Espagne 16.7%
Angleterre 11.5%
Brésil 9.2%
$1,002,200,194 Vol.
$1,002,200,194 Vol.
20 juil. 2026
France
18%
Espagne
17%
Angleterre
11%
Brésil
9%
Argentine
9%
Portugal
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
3%
Norvège
2%
Japon
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
États-Unis
2%
Maroc
2%
Suisse
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexique
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Turquie
1%
Autriche
1%
Suède
1%
Canada
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
France 17.8%
Espagne 16.7%
Angleterre 11.5%
Brésil 9.2%
$1,002,200,194 Vol.
$1,002,200,194 Vol.
20 juil. 2026
France
$26,790,867 Vol.
18%
Espagne
$20,812,672 Vol.
17%
Angleterre
$17,222,443 Vol.
11%
Brésil
$18,635,954 Vol.
9%
Argentine
$18,167,877 Vol.
9%
Portugal
$19,919,214 Vol.
8%
Allemagne
$16,885,166 Vol.
5%
Pays-Bas
$19,020,734 Vol.
3%
Norvège
$17,575,233 Vol.
2%
Japon
$21,858,027 Vol.
2%
Belgique
$16,716,402 Vol.
2%
Colombie
$15,610,921 Vol.
2%
États-Unis
$32,159,464 Vol.
2%
Maroc
$20,519,070 Vol.
2%
Suisse
$17,940,112 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$17,811,216 Vol.
1%
Mexique
$19,470,984 Vol.
1%
Croatie
$21,369,928 Vol.
1%
Équateur
$21,682,200 Vol.
1%
Sénégal
$17,467,728 Vol.
1%
Turquie
$10,830,148 Vol.
1%
Autriche
$18,638,072 Vol.
1%
Suède
$9,783,861 Vol.
1%
Canada
$22,917,077 Vol.
<1%
Corée du Sud
$24,354,577 Vol.
<1%
Paraguay
$19,600,620 Vol.
<1%
Écosse
$18,557,554 Vol.
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
$23,219,888 Vol.
<1%
Égypte
$23,632,864 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$18,122,110 Vol.
<1%
Algérie
$21,767,115 Vol.
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
$10,650,718 Vol.
<1%
Tchéquie
$9,372,537 Vol.
<1%
Australie
$23,755,468 Vol.
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
$30,898,307 Vol.
<1%
Haïti
$17,785,059 Vol.
<1%
Jordanie
$25,913,433 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$36,465,617 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$24,504,795 Vol.
<1%
Tunisie
$22,242,512 Vol.
<1%
Ouzbékistan
$38,893,802 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$12,906,507 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$12,497,107 Vol.
<1%
Afrique du Sud
$27,016,962 Vol.
<1%
RD Congo
$16,400,395 Vol.
<1%
Cape Verde
$22,914,733 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$24,539,063 Vol.
<1%
Arabie saoudite
$27,499,543 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent results in March friendlies and ongoing squad preparations have kept the 2026 FIFA World Cup title race tightly bunched, with France and Spain trading narrow edges at the top of trader pricing. Spain’s unbeaten run and tactical cohesion since winning Euro 2024 contrast with France’s depth and Kylian Mbappé’s return to form, while Argentina’s defending-champion core faces questions over aging legs and Brazil contends with limited preparation time under Carlo Ancelotti. England, Portugal, and Germany round out a cluster of European sides boasting strong recent records and favorable group-stage paths, creating a situation where small roster tweaks or fitness updates can shift implied probabilities among the leading contenders.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$1,002,200,194Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent results in March friendlies and ongoing squad preparations have kept the 2026 FIFA World Cup title race tightly bunched, with France and Spain trading narrow edges at the top of trader pricing. Spain’s unbeaten run and tactical cohesion since winning Euro 2024 contrast with France’s depth and Kylian Mbappé’s return to form, while Argentina’s defending-champion core faces questions over aging legs and Brazil contends with limited preparation time under Carlo Ancelotti. England, Portugal, and Germany round out a cluster of European sides boasting strong recent records and favorable group-stage paths, creating a situation where small roster tweaks or fitness updates can shift implied probabilities among the leading contenders.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,002,200,194Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent results in March friendlies and ongoing squad preparations have kept the 2026 FIFA World Cup title race tightly bunched, with France and Spain trading narrow edges at the top of trader pricing. Spain’s unbeaten run and tactical cohesion since winning Euro 2024 contrast with France’s depth and Kylian Mbappé’s return to form, while Argentina’s defending-champion core faces questions over aging legs and Brazil contends with limited preparation time under Carlo Ancelotti. England, Portugal, and Germany round out a cluster of European sides boasting strong recent records and favorable group-stage paths, creating a situation where small roster tweaks or fitness updates can shift implied probabilities among the leading contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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