The tight clustering of implied probabilities around France, Spain, and England reflects the even distribution of elite squad depth, recent international form, and historical tournament resilience among top European and South American national teams as the expanded 48-team field approaches. France maintains its narrow edge thanks to proven knockout-stage experience and attacking options despite minor fitness concerns for key players, while Spain benefits from strong recent results and midfield control. Argentina's status as defending champions adds back-to-back title context, yet injuries to several Brazilian and German stars have tempered those markets without shifting the overall competitive balance. Trader consensus continues to price in the unpredictable nature of a month-long event with significant travel demands across North American venues.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFrance 18.3%
Espagne 16.7%
Angleterre 11.3%
Brésil 9.2%
$1,014,299,462 Vol.
$1,014,299,462 Vol.
France
18%
Espagne
17%
Angleterre
11%
Brésil
9%
Argentine
8%
Portugal
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
3%
Norvège
2%
Japon
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
États-Unis
2%
Maroc
2%
Suisse
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexique
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Turquie
1%
Autriche
1%
Suède
1%
Canada
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
France 18.3%
Espagne 16.7%
Angleterre 11.3%
Brésil 9.2%
$1,014,299,462 Vol.
$1,014,299,462 Vol.
France
18%
Espagne
17%
Angleterre
11%
Brésil
9%
Argentine
8%
Portugal
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
3%
Norvège
2%
Japon
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
États-Unis
2%
Maroc
2%
Suisse
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexique
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Turquie
1%
Autriche
1%
Suède
1%
Canada
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around France, Spain, and England reflects the even distribution of elite squad depth, recent international form, and historical tournament resilience among top European and South American national teams as the expanded 48-team field approaches. France maintains its narrow edge thanks to proven knockout-stage experience and attacking options despite minor fitness concerns for key players, while Spain benefits from strong recent results and midfield control. Argentina's status as defending champions adds back-to-back title context, yet injuries to several Brazilian and German stars have tempered those markets without shifting the overall competitive balance. Trader consensus continues to price in the unpredictable nature of a month-long event with significant travel demands across North American venues.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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