France and Spain anchor trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, reflecting their deep squads, recent European Championship pedigree, and strong UEFA qualifying campaigns that showcased tactical cohesion under experienced coaches. France benefits from Kylian Mbappé’s peak form and Didier Deschamps’ proven knockout expertise, while Spain’s young core including Lamine Yamal and Pedri has maintained an extended unbeaten run. The race stays tight because England, Brazil, Argentina, and Portugal possess comparable attacking depth and historical pedigree, with the expanded 48-team format and balanced bracket creating unpredictable knockout paths that reward consistent form over single standout results. No major injuries have altered roster outlooks one month before kickoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFrance 18.6%
Espagne 16.9%
Angleterre 11.3%
Brésil 9.2%
$1,008,100,678 Vol.
$1,008,100,678 Vol.
France
19%
Espagne
17%
Angleterre
11%
Brésil
9%
Argentine
9%
Portugal
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
3%
Norvège
2%
Japon
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
États-Unis
2%
Maroc
2%
Suisse
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexique
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Turquie
1%
Autriche
1%
Suède
1%
Canada
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
France 18.6%
Espagne 16.9%
Angleterre 11.3%
Brésil 9.2%
$1,008,100,678 Vol.
$1,008,100,678 Vol.
France
19%
Espagne
17%
Angleterre
11%
Brésil
9%
Argentine
9%
Portugal
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
3%
Norvège
2%
Japon
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
États-Unis
2%
Maroc
2%
Suisse
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexique
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Turquie
1%
Autriche
1%
Suède
1%
Canada
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France and Spain anchor trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, reflecting their deep squads, recent European Championship pedigree, and strong UEFA qualifying campaigns that showcased tactical cohesion under experienced coaches. France benefits from Kylian Mbappé’s peak form and Didier Deschamps’ proven knockout expertise, while Spain’s young core including Lamine Yamal and Pedri has maintained an extended unbeaten run. The race stays tight because England, Brazil, Argentina, and Portugal possess comparable attacking depth and historical pedigree, with the expanded 48-team format and balanced bracket creating unpredictable knockout paths that reward consistent form over single standout results. No major injuries have altered roster outlooks one month before kickoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes