Jannik Sinner remains the clear leader in trader consensus for the 2026 US Open title due to his unmatched hard-court record, including multiple prior titles at Flushing Meadows and consistent dominance in best-of-five sets on the surface. Recent knee issues have forced withdrawals from the Canadian and Cincinnati Opens, leaving him with limited match play since the Wimbledon final and raising questions about fitness heading into the hard-court major. Alexander Zverev and Carlos Alcaraz trail as the next most backed contenders, with Zverev benefiting from strong recent form and a French Open title while Alcaraz carries momentum from his Australian Open victory, though both face their own injury considerations that could impact recovery and depth. Veterans like Novak Djokovic and emerging talents such as Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz round out the field, reflecting the wisdom of crowds pricing in experience, recent results, and surface-specific strengths amid an uncertain pre-tournament period.