Jannik Sinner's status as the defending Wimbledon champion and dominant world No. 1 underpins his leading 57.5% implied probability, even after an early Roland Garros exit and a deliberate choice to skip official grass warm-ups in favor of hard-court training and a late Hurlingham exhibition. Traders view his overall level and serve as decisive advantages on the surface. Novak Djokovic sits second at 11.9% due to his unmatched grass-court experience, tactical acumen, and focused schedule aimed at freshness for the fortnight despite turning 39. Early grass results from players like Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, combined with limited head-to-head data on the lawns this season, help explain the spread among the remaining field, where form, movement, and draw positioning shape the tighter probabilities behind the top two.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJannik Sinner 100.0%
Carlos Alcaraz <1%
Taylor Fritz <1%
Daniil Medvedev <1%
$18,010,062 Vol.
$18,010,062 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
Non
Taylor Fritz
Non
Daniil Medvedev
Non
Tommy Paul
Non
Alex de Minaur
Non
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Non
Andrey Rublev
Non
Frances Tiafoe
Non
Alexei Popyrin
Non
Jack Draper
Non
Jakub Menšík
Non
Sebastian Korda
Non
Hubert Hurkacz
Non
Cameron Norrie
Non
Tallon Griekspoor
Non
Francisco Cerúndolo
Non
Ugo Humbert
Non
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Non
Flavio Cobolli
Non
Karen Khachanov
Non
Tomáš Macháč
Non
Marin Čilić
Non
Jannik Sinner
Oui
Novak Djokovic
Non
Ben Shelton
Non
Alexander Bublik
Non
Lorenzo Musetti
Non
Gabriel Diallo
Non
Félix Auger-Aliassime
Non
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Non
Lorenzo Sonego
Non
Alex Michelsen
Non
Nicolás Jarry
Non
Alexander Zverev
Non
João Fonseca
Non
Arthur Fils
Non
Grigor Dimitrov
Non
Matteo Berrettini
Non
Jiří Lehečka
Non
Casper Ruud
Non
Arthur Fery
Non
Jannik Sinner 100.0%
Carlos Alcaraz <1%
Taylor Fritz <1%
Daniil Medvedev <1%
$18,010,062 Vol.
$18,010,062 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
Non
Taylor Fritz
Non
Daniil Medvedev
Non
Tommy Paul
Non
Alex de Minaur
Non
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Non
Andrey Rublev
Non
Frances Tiafoe
Non
Alexei Popyrin
Non
Jack Draper
Non
Jakub Menšík
Non
Sebastian Korda
Non
Hubert Hurkacz
Non
Cameron Norrie
Non
Tallon Griekspoor
Non
Francisco Cerúndolo
Non
Ugo Humbert
Non
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Non
Flavio Cobolli
Non
Karen Khachanov
Non
Tomáš Macháč
Non
Marin Čilić
Non
Jannik Sinner
Oui
Novak Djokovic
Non
Ben Shelton
Non
Alexander Bublik
Non
Lorenzo Musetti
Non
Gabriel Diallo
Non
Félix Auger-Aliassime
Non
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Non
Lorenzo Sonego
Non
Alex Michelsen
Non
Nicolás Jarry
Non
Alexander Zverev
Non
João Fonseca
Non
Arthur Fils
Non
Grigor Dimitrov
Non
Matteo Berrettini
Non
Jiří Lehečka
Non
Casper Ruud
Non
Arthur Fery
Non
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Jannik Sinner's status as the defending Wimbledon champion and dominant world No. 1 underpins his leading 57.5% implied probability, even after an early Roland Garros exit and a deliberate choice to skip official grass warm-ups in favor of hard-court training and a late Hurlingham exhibition. Traders view his overall level and serve as decisive advantages on the surface. Novak Djokovic sits second at 11.9% due to his unmatched grass-court experience, tactical acumen, and focused schedule aimed at freshness for the fortnight despite turning 39. Early grass results from players like Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, combined with limited head-to-head data on the lawns this season, help explain the spread among the remaining field, where form, movement, and draw positioning shape the tighter probabilities behind the top two.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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