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Élections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Élections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$53,150 Vol.

17 avr. 2027
Polymarket

$53,150 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$3,570 Vol.

89%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$3,429 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$2,076 Vol.

83%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,974 Vol.

73%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$468 Vol.

72%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$895 Vol.

54%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$818 Vol.

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,615 Vol.

48%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,305 Vol.

55%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$275 Vol.

55%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$2,066 Vol.

50%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,335 Vol.

49%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$2,067 Vol.

43%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$81 Vol.

40%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,419 Vol.

40%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,220 Vol.

37%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,346 Vol.

28%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,108 Vol.

25%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$395 Vol.

16%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$4,357 Vol.

18%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$108 Vol.

26%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$688 Vol.

18%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$441 Vol.

15%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,751 Vol.

14%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$747 Vol.

12%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$596 Vol.

11%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$998 Vol.

10%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$767 Vol.

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,488 Vol.

15%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,151 Vol.

9%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$222 Vol.

9%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$161 Vol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$691 Vol.

8%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$496 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$863 Vol.

7%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$350 Vol.

6%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,099 Vol.

6%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$1,034 Vol.

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$139 Vol.

6%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,573 Vol.

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$252 Vol.

5%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$343 Vol.

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$952 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$477 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$148 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$795 Vol.

3%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features a fragmented field shaped by term limits barring Emmanuel Macron from seeking a third term and the July 7, 2026, Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and potential five-year public office ban. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 3 announcement for a fourth run has solidified his place on the ballot while highlighting persistent left-wing divisions over a proposed unitary primary. On the right, Jordan Bardella stands ready to lead National Rally if Le Pen is sidelined, consistent with recent polling trends favoring him in first-round scenarios. Center-right figures including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal continue positioning themselves as alternatives, with Bruno Retailleau already secured as the Republicans nominee. These legal, announcement, and consolidation developments directly influence trader assessments of likely ballot composition ahead of the April 2027 two-round vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,150
Date de fin
17 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features a fragmented field shaped by term limits barring Emmanuel Macron from seeking a third term and the July 7, 2026, Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and potential five-year public office ban. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 3 announcement for a fourth run has solidified his place on the ballot while highlighting persistent left-wing divisions over a proposed unitary primary. On the right, Jordan Bardella stands ready to lead National Rally if Le Pen is sidelined, consistent with recent polling trends favoring him in first-round scenarios. Center-right figures including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal continue positioning themselves as alternatives, with Bruno Retailleau already secured as the Republicans nominee. These legal, announcement, and consolidation developments directly influence trader assessments of likely ballot composition ahead of the April 2027 two-round vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,150
Date de fin
17 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 46+ résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jean-Luc Mélenchon » à 89%, suivi de « Édouard Philippe » à 88%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 89¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 89% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? » a généré $53.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 22, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? », parcourez les 46+ résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? » est « Jean-Luc Mélenchon » à 89%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 89% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Édouard Philippe » à 88%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.