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Monde·Canada

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission
Monde·Canada

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 49%

Pam Alexis 43%

Lakhwinder Jhaj 25%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 49%

Pam Alexis 43%

Lakhwinder Jhaj 25%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$403 Vol.

49%

icon for Pam Alexis

Pam Alexis

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Lakhwinder Jhaj

Lakhwinder Jhaj

$23 Vol.

25%

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).The Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election, scheduled for September 26 with advance voting from September 18–23, features BC Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay seeking her first seat after Reann Gasper resigned the riding. The contest pits Findlay against former NDP MLA and agriculture minister Pam Alexis, who held the seat from 2020 to 2024 before losing it by roughly 2,600 votes in the 2024 general election, and CentreBC candidate Lakhwinder Jhaj. Recent Conservative caucus departures have highlighted internal party strains, while the short campaign window limits Findlay’s time to establish local ties in a riding focused on agriculture, housing, and health care. Nominations close September 5, and the close market pricing between the top contenders reflects uncertainty over turnout, late endorsements, and the impact of the additional centrist option on vote splitting.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$426
Date de fin
26 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://elections.bc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).The Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election, scheduled for September 26 with advance voting from September 18–23, features BC Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay seeking her first seat after Reann Gasper resigned the riding. The contest pits Findlay against former NDP MLA and agriculture minister Pam Alexis, who held the seat from 2020 to 2024 before losing it by roughly 2,600 votes in the 2024 general election, and CentreBC candidate Lakhwinder Jhaj. Recent Conservative caucus departures have highlighted internal party strains, while the short campaign window limits Findlay’s time to establish local ties in a riding focused on agriculture, housing, and health care. Nominations close September 5, and the close market pricing between the top contenders reflects uncertainty over turnout, late endorsements, and the impact of the additional centrist option on vote splitting.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$426
Date de fin
26 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://elections.bc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Kerry-Lynne Findlay » à 49%, suivi de « Pam Alexis » à 43%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 49¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission » est « Kerry-Lynne Findlay » à 49%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Pam Alexis » à 43%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.