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icon for Âge du candidat démocrate à la présidence de 2028 ?

Âge du candidat démocrate à la présidence de 2028 ?

icon for Âge du candidat démocrate à la présidence de 2028 ?

Âge du candidat démocrate à la présidence de 2028 ?

Moins de 45 ans 36%

45-54 29%

55-64 17%

85 ans ou plus 5.3%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Moins de 45 ans 36%

45-54 29%

55-64 17%

85 ans ou plus 5.3%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Moins de 45 ans

$1,024 Vol.

45%

45-54

$805 Vol.

29%

55-64

$247 Vol.

19%

65-74

$144 Vol.

10%

75-84

$135 Vol.

5%

85 ans ou plus

$148 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus prices the 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45 at 42 percent and ages 45-54 at 28.5 percent, reflecting the elevated visibility of younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in early positioning. These candidates, along with Pete Buttigieg and Wes Moore, have drawn attention through fundraising, media appearances, and primary polling in key states amid widespread discussion of generational turnover following consecutive older nominees. Prediction markets have assigned meaningful probability to these individuals, while older options like Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom remain competitive in surveys but trail in some betting aggregates. No candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts before the primary calendar begins.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$2,502
Date de fin
31 août 2028
Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus prices the 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45 at 42 percent and ages 45-54 at 28.5 percent, reflecting the elevated visibility of younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in early positioning. These candidates, along with Pete Buttigieg and Wes Moore, have drawn attention through fundraising, media appearances, and primary polling in key states amid widespread discussion of generational turnover following consecutive older nominees. Prediction markets have assigned meaningful probability to these individuals, while older options like Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom remain competitive in surveys but trail in some betting aggregates. No candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts before the primary calendar begins.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$2,502
Date de fin
31 août 2028
Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

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Questions fréquentes

« Âge du candidat démocrate à la présidence de 2028 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Moins de 45 ans » à 45%, suivi de « 45-54 » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Âge du candidat démocrate à la présidence de 2028 ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 15, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Âge du candidat démocrate à la présidence de 2028 ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Âge du candidat démocrate à la présidence de 2028 ? » est « Moins de 45 ans » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 45-54 » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Âge du candidat démocrate à la présidence de 2028 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.